Preview: Miami (FL) vs. Indiana

Game	Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Indiana Hoosiers
Date:	March 19th, 2023 8:40 PM
TV:	TNT

Preview

Miami (FL) Offense vs. Indiana Defense

Miami (FL) checks in at 13th nationally in Bart Torvik’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. The Hurricanes shoot 54.9 percent on twos and 36.8 percent on threes for a 55 effective field goal percentage.

Indiana is ranked 46th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. On the season, Indiana opponents make 45.7 percent of their twos and 33.2 percent of their threes for a 47.3 effective field goal percentage.

Basics

Miami (FL)’s offense has been struggling over the last month. The Hurricanes are ranked 39th in adjusted offensive efficiency over the last 30 days compared to 13th for the season.
Indiana’s defense has been struggling over the last month. The Hoosiers are ranked 76th in adjusted defensive efficiency over the last 30 days compared to 46th for the season.
You can trust Miami (FL) at the line in a close game. The Hurricanes shoot 78 percent at the line for the season.

Extra Possessions

Miami (FL) does a great job of valuing the basketball, turnovers on just 16.3 percent of possessions, and Indiana’s defense doesn’t prioritize forcing giveaways. The Hoosiers only force giveaways on 16.3 percent of opponent possessions, so expect a low turnover performance by Miami (FL)’s offense.
Miami (FL) does a terrific job turning defense into offense. The Hurricanes score 15.6 points points per game off of turnovers.
The Hurricanes are fantastic on the offensive glass and rebound 32 percent of their missed shots. Indiana is just okay on the defensive glass, grabbing 72.2 percent of opponent misses, which means the rebounding battle could swing this game in either direction.

Shot Profile

Indiana does a fantastic job of contesting jump shots. On the season, IND contests 59 percent of if its opponents catch and shoot attempts. Conversely, Miami (FL) excels at creating open jumpers. Only 48 percent of the Hurricanes’ catch and shoot attempts have been contested this season.
Miami (FL) is difficult to guard because it has 3 players on the roster shooting at least 38 percent from 3-point range on over 50 perimeter attempts.
Indiana is one of the best teams in the country at defending around the basket. Hoosiers opponents are shooting just 52 percent at the rim. Miami (FL) is usually very good at creating quality looks around the basket — finishing 63 percent of its shots withing five-feet — which sets up an interesting battle inside.

Style

Miami (FL) loves to push the ball in transition. An impressive 18.8 percent of MIA’s offensive plays are in transition and those transition plays create 14.8 points per game. Indiana’s defense does a great job of limiting transition opportunities and only allows 8.8 points per game in transition.

Indiana Offense vs. Miami (FL) Defense

The Hoosiers are ranked 31st nationally in Bart Torvik’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. Indiana shoots 53.2 percent on twos and 37 percent on threes for a 53.8 effective field goal percentage.

Miami (FL)’s defense is ranked 113th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Opponents shoot 51.8 percent on twos and 33.6 percent on threes for a 51.3 effective field goal percentage against the Hurricanes.

Basics

Indiana’s offense enters the tournament on a cold streak. Over the last 30 days, the Hoosiers are ranked 72nd in adjusted offensive efficiency compared to 31st for the year.
The Hoosiers are one of the biggest teams in the NCAA Tournament with an average height of 78.6 inches according to KenPom.com.

Extra Possessions

Shot Profile

Indiana’s offensive attack is interior-focused. The Hoosiers only attempt 27 percent of their shots from 3-point range. Despite not being a high volume 3-point shooting team, Indiana shoots an impressive 37 percent from outside the arc.
Indiana dominates the paint. The Hoosiers score 38.3 points and allow 28.2 points per game in the paint, outscoring teams by 10.1 points per game.
Indiana is difficult to guard because it has 3 players on the roster shooting at least 38 percent from 3-point range on over 50 perimeter attempts.
Indiana is one of the best teams in the country at finishing around the basket. The Hoosiers shoot 61 percent at the rim and Miami (FL) allows 58 percent shooting inside of five feet.
Indiana’s offense is heavy on mid-range jumpers. The Hoosiers attempt 27 percent of their shots from the mid-range and connect at a 40 percent clip.

Style

Indiana has one of the most dominant post-up offenses in the NCAA Tournament, averaging 16 points per game on 0.99 points per post-up play. That should be a mismatch against a Miami (FL) team that allows 0.97 points per post-up play.

Bottom Line

Bart Torvik lists Indiana as a 77-76 favorite, giving the Hoosiers a 54 percent chance of advancing.

MIA Personnel

#2 Isaiah Wong

Role: Primary Ball Handler
Height: 6'4" | Weight: 184 lbs

Mid-Range Specialist Off the Dribble Shooter Catch and Shoot Takes Tough Shots Gets to the Line Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter Above 80% FT

Pts	Reb	Ast	ORtg	Usage	eFG%
16.2	4.2	3.4	117.2	24.0%	52.6%

#11 Jordan Miller

Role: Tall Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'7" | Weight: 195 lbs

Minutes Logger Avoids Turnovers Cut and Finish Efficient Shooter

Pts	Reb	Ast	ORtg	Usage	eFG%
15.3	6.2	2.7	126.5	20.1%	58.7%

#15 Norchad Omier

Role: Versatile Big
Height: 6'7" | Weight: 248 lbs

Finisher Roll Man Non Shooter Offensive Rebounder Defensive Rebounder Gets to the Line Cut and Finish

Pts	Reb	Ast	ORtg	Usage	eFG%
13.6	9.7	1.2	119.0	23.7%	59.8%

#24 Nijel Pack

Role: Primary Ball Handler
Height: 6'0" | Weight: 184 lbs

Off the Dribble Shooter Catch and Shoot Takes Tough Shots Efficient Shooter Above 80% FT

Pts	Reb	Ast	ORtg	Usage	eFG%
13.2	2.7	2.5	111.6	20.7%	54.2%

#55 Wooga Poplar

Role: Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'5" | Weight: 192 lbs

Pick Pocket Catch and Shoot Above 80% FT

Pts	Reb	Ast	ORtg	Usage	eFG%
8.2	3.2	1.5	113.6	16.9%	55.8%

🔥🔥🔥: Poplar is averaging 12 points per game over the last 3 games. That’s 3.8 points above his season average.

IND Personnel

#23 Trayce Jackson-Davis

Role: Versatile Big
Height: 6'9" | Weight: 245 lbs

Distributor Finisher Roll Man Rim Protector Non Shooter Offensive Rebounder Defensive Rebounder Mega Usage Gets to the Line Minutes Logger Cut and Finish

Pts	Reb	Ast	ORtg	Usage	eFG%
20.8	10.9	4.1	117.5	30.4%	57.9%

#1 Jalen Hood-Schifino

Role: Primary Ball Handler
Height: 6'6" | Weight: 213 lbs

Distributor Mid-Range Specialist Off the Dribble Shooter Takes Tough Shots Go-To Guy Efficient Shooter

Pts	Reb	Ast	ORtg	Usage	eFG%
13.5	4.1	3.7	95.3	25.0%	46.8%

#12 Miller Kopp

Role: Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'7" | Weight: 215 lbs

Corner 3-Point Specialist Off the Dribble Shooter Catch and Shoot Low Usage Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter Above 80% FT

Pts	Reb	Ast	ORtg	Usage	eFG%
7.9	2.5	1.2	126.2	10.6%	63.5%

#25 Race Thompson

Role: Versatile Big
Height: 6'8" | Weight: 235 lbs

Smart Shot Selection Avoids Turnovers

Pts	Reb	Ast	ORtg	Usage	eFG%
7.9	5	1	107.2	18.7%	50.9%

#53 Tamar Bates

Role: Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'5" | Weight: 198 lbs

Mid-Range Specialist Catch and Shoot Avoids Turnovers Above 80% FT

Pts	Reb	Ast	ORtg	Usage	eFG%
6.5	1.5	1.2	109.1	15.6%	52.2%

ATS

Indiana ATS Performance

This Season

Indiana is 16-17-1 against the spread this year. The over has hit in 19 of 34 Indiana games (55.9%) this season.

Indiana is 3-2-0 against the spread at neutral sites this year. The over has hit in 2 of Indiana’s 5 games on neutral floors (40%) this season.

Date	Opp	Result	Spread	Cover	By	Total	Over	By
11/7/2022	Morehead State	W, 88-53	-21.5	W	13.5	134.5	OVER	6.5
11/10/2022	Bethune-Cookman	W, 101-49	-31.5	W	20.5	140.5	OVER	9.5
11/18/2022	at Xavier	W, 81-79	-2	P	0	145	OVER	15
11/20/2022	vs. Miami (OH)	W, 86-56	25.5	W	55.5	147.5	UNDER	-5.5
11/23/2022	Little Rock	W, 87-68	-31	L	-12	149	OVER	6
11/25/2022	Jackson State	W, 90-51	-26.5	W	12.5	143.5	UNDER	-2.5
11/30/2022	North Carolina	W, 77-65	-5	W	7	143.5	UNDER	-1.5
12/3/2022	at Rutgers	L, 48-63	-3.5	L	-18.5	134.5	UNDER	-23.5
12/7/2022	Nebraska	W, 81-65	-12	W	4	136.5	OVER	9.5
12/10/2022	vs. Arizona	L, 75-89	0	L	-14	158.5	OVER	5.5
12/17/2022	at Kansas	L, 62-84	6	L	-16	142.5	OVER	3.5
12/20/2022	Elon	W, 96-72	-28	L	-4	141.5	OVER	26.5
12/23/2022	Kennesaw State	W, 69-55	-20	L	-6	141	UNDER	-17
1/5/2023	at Iowa	L, 89-91	1	L	-1	153	OVER	27
1/8/2023	Northwestern	L, 83-84	-6.5	L	-7.5	133.5	OVER	33.5
1/11/2023	at Penn State	L, 66-85	1.5	L	-17.5	143.5	OVER	7.5
1/14/2023	Wisconsin	W, 63-45	-4.5	W	13.5	135.5	UNDER	-27.5
1/19/2023	at Illinois	W, 80-65	7.5	W	22.5	146.5	UNDER	-1.5
1/22/2023	Michigan State	W, 82-69	-4.5	W	8.5	138.5	OVER	12.5
1/25/2023	at Minnesota	W, 61-57	-10	L	-6	136.5	UNDER	-18.5
1/28/2023	Ohio State	W, 86-70	-5	W	11	145.5	OVER	10.5
1/31/2023	at Maryland	L, 55-66	2.5	L	-8.5	140	UNDER	-19
2/4/2023	Purdue	W, 79-74	1.5	W	6.5	141	OVER	12
2/7/2023	Rutgers	W, 66-60	-4.5	W	1.5	135	UNDER	-9
2/11/2023	at Michigan	W, 62-61	3	W	4	144	UNDER	-21
2/15/2023	at Northwestern	L, 62-64	-1	L	-3	134.5	UNDER	-8.5
2/18/2023	Illinois	W, 71-68	-4.5	L	-1.5	147	UNDER	-8
2/21/2023	at Michigan State	L, 65-80	1.5	L	-13.5	137	OVER	8
2/25/2023	at Purdue	W, 79-71	7.5	W	15.5	138.5	OVER	11.5
2/28/2023	Iowa	L, 68-90	-5.5	L	-27.5	155	OVER	3
3/5/2023	Michigan	W, 75-73	-5	L	-3	143.5	OVER	4.5
3/10/2023	vs. Maryland	W, 70-60	-1	W	9	135	UNDER	-5
3/11/2023	vs. Penn State	L, 73-77	-3	L	-7	140	OVER	10
3/17/2023	vs. Kent State	W, 71-60	-4	W	7	140.5	UNDER	-9.5

Head to Head

We don’t have any head-to-head games on file between these two teams.

Miami (FL) ATS Performance

This Season

Miami (FL) is 19-14-0 against the spread this year. The over has hit in 16 of 33 Miami (FL) games (48.5%) this season.

Miami (FL) is 2-3-0 against the spread at neutral sites this year. The over has hit in 2 of Miami (FL)’s 5 games on neutral floors (40%) this season.

Date	Opp	Result	Spread	Cover	By	Total	Over	By
11/7/2022	Lafayette	W, 67-54	-24.5	L	-11.5	142.5	UNDER	-21.5
11/11/2022	UNC Greensboro	W, 79-65	-10	W	4	132	OVER	12
11/15/2022	Florida A&M	W, 87-61	-31.5	L	-5.5	132	OVER	16
11/19/2022	vs. Providence	W, 74-64	-3	W	7	141.5	UNDER	-3.5
11/20/2022	vs. Maryland	L, 70-88	2	L	-16	142	OVER	16
11/23/2022	St. Francis (BKN)	W, 79-56	-24.5	L	-1.5	142	UNDER	-7
11/27/2022	at UCF	W, 66-64	0	W	2	131	UNDER	-1
11/30/2022	Rutgers	W, 68-61	-3	W	4	136	UNDER	-7
12/4/2022	at Louisville	W, 80-53	-11	W	16	135.5	UNDER	-2.5
12/7/2022	Cornell	W, 107-105	-16	L	-14	150	OVER	62
12/10/2022	NC State	W, 80-73	-3.5	W	3.5	152	OVER	1
12/17/2022	St. Francis (PA)	W, 91-76	-26	L	-11	152	OVER	15
12/20/2022	Virginia	W, 66-64	2	W	4	135	UNDER	-5
12/30/2022	at Notre Dame	W, 76-65	-2.5	W	8.5	144	UNDER	-3
1/4/2023	at Georgia Tech	L, 70-76	-6	L	-12	144	OVER	2
1/11/2023	Boston College	W, 88-72	-13.5	W	2.5	138.5	OVER	21.5
1/14/2023	at NC State	L, 81-83	2.5	W	0.5	154.5	OVER	9.5
1/16/2023	Syracuse	W, 82-78	-7	L	-3	149.5	OVER	10.5
1/21/2023	at Duke	L, 66-68	5.5	W	3.5	148	UNDER	-14
1/24/2023	at Florida State	W, 86-63	-5.5	W	17.5	152.5	UNDER	-3.5
1/28/2023	at Pittsburgh	L, 68-71	1	L	-2	148	UNDER	-9
1/31/2023	Virginia Tech	W, 92-83	-4	W	5	143	OVER	32
2/4/2023	at Clemson	W, 78-74	1.5	W	5.5	149.5	OVER	2.5
2/6/2023	Duke	W, 81-59	-4	W	18	146	UNDER	-6
2/11/2023	Louisville	W, 93-85	-20.5	L	-12.5	147.5	OVER	30.5
2/13/2023	at North Carolina	W, 80-72	4	W	12	153.5	UNDER	-1.5
2/18/2023	Wake Forest	W, 96-87	-7	W	2	159.5	OVER	23.5
2/21/2023	at Virginia Tech	W, 76-70	-1	W	5	155	UNDER	-9
2/25/2023	Florida State	L, 84-85	-14	L	-15	154.5	OVER	14.5
3/4/2023	Pittsburgh	W, 78-76	-6.5	L	-4.5	154.5	UNDER	-0.5
3/9/2023	vs. Wake Forest	W, 74-72	-5	L	-3	157	UNDER	-11
3/10/2023	vs. Duke	L, 78-85	3	L	-4	145	OVER	18
3/17/2023	vs. Drake	W, 63-56	-2.5	W	4.5	147.5	UNDER	-28.5

Head to Head

We don’t have any head-to-head games on file between these two teams.

Note: Our ATS data dates back to the 2017-18 season.

News

News Updates

News updates via RotoWire.

Nijel Pack (03/18): Pack supplied 21 points (7-15 FG, 3-7 3Pt, 4-4 FT), four rebounds and two steals over 35 minutes during Friday's 63-56 win over Drake.
Race Thompson (03/18): Thompson contributed 20 points (8-11 FG, 2-3 3Pt, 2-3 FT), nine rebounds, one block and one steal in 29 minutes during Friday's 71-60 win over Kent State.
Norchad Omier (03/18): Omier amassed 12 points (2-9 FG, 0-1 3Pt, 8-9 FT), 14 rebounds and one steal across 36 minutes during Friday's 63-56 victory over Drake.
Trayce Jackson-Davis (03/18): Jackson-Davis supplied 24 points (10-17 FG, 4-5 FT), 11 rebounds, five assists, five blocks and one steal across 35 minutes during Friday's 71-60 win over Kent State.
CJ Gunn (03/18): Gunn (undisclosed) did not play in Friday's matchup against Kent State.
Logan Duncomb (03/18): Duncomb (illness) didn't play in Friday's win over Kent State.
Norchad Omier (03/17): Omier (ankle) has been medically cleared and will play in Friday's game versus Drake, Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports reports.
CJ Gunn (03/16): Gunn is not partaking in practice Thursday ahead of Friday's opening round matchup against Kent State, Zach Osterman of The Indianapolis Star reports.
Norchad Omier (03/16): Omier (ankle) will be available Friday if he suffers no setback with his injury before Miami's game against Drake, according to Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports.
Norchad Omier (03/15): Omier (ankle) was able to participate in practice Wednesday ahead of Friday's first-round matchup with Drake in the NCAA Tournament, Mike Cugno of CBS4 Miami reports.
Norchad Omier (03/12): Omier (ankle) is day-to-day heading into Miami's NCAA Tournament matchup against Drake on Friday night, Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports reports.
Isaiah Wong (03/11): Wong contributed 22 points (8-15 FG, 2-6 3Pt, 4-4 FT), two rebounds, two assists and two steals in 27 minutes during Friday's 85-78 loss to Duke.
Jordan Geronimo (03/11): Geronimo (lower body) returned to action Friday as Indiana took down Maryland.
Jordan Geronimo (03/10): Geronimo (lower body) is warming up ahead of Friday's game versus Maryland, Mike Schumann of The Daily Hoosier reports.
Norchad Omier (03/10): Omier won't return to Friday's game versus Duke due to an ankle injury, Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports reports.
Jordan Miller (03/10): Miller logged 18 points (8-16 FG, 2-4 3Pt, 0-3 FT), nine rebounds, five assists and two steals in 38 minutes during Thursday's 74-72 win over Wake Forest.
Norchad Omier (03/06): Omier registered 15 points (6-12 FG, 3-4 FT), 13 rebounds, three assists and two blocks over 30 minutes during Saturday's 78-76 victory over Pittsburgh.
Jalen Hood-Schifino (03/06): Hood-Schifino closed with 13 points (4-9 FG, 1-1 3Pt, 4-4 FT), two rebounds and two assists over 40 minutes during Sunday's 75-73 OT victory over Michigan.
Race Thompson (03/06): Thompson closed Sunday's 75-73 OT victory over Michigan with 16 points (7-10 FG, 1-1 3Pt, 1-6 FT), 10 rebounds and four steals across 35 minutes.
Trayce Jackson-Davis (03/06): Jackson-Davis closed Sunday's 75-73 OT win over Michigan with 27 points (10-21 FG, 7-9 FT), nine rebounds, six assists, two blocks and two steals in 44 minutes.
Jordan Geronimo (03/05): Geronimo (lower body) didn't appear in Sunday's win over Michigan.
Logan Duncomb (03/05): Duncomb (illness) didn't play in Sunday's win over Michigan.
Jordan Geronimo (03/05): Geronimo (lower body) is warming up before Indiana's game Sunday versus Michigan.
Anthony Walker (03/05): Walker chipped in two points (1-2 FG) and one rebound over four minutes during Saturday's 78-76 victory over Pittsburgh.
Harlond Beverly (03/05): Beverly posted six points (2-3 FG, 0-1 3Pt, 2-2 FT) and two rebounds over 12 minutes during Saturday's 78-76 victory over Pittsburgh.