Preview: UCLA vs. Gonzaga

Game UCLA Bruins vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Date: April 3rd, 2021 8:34 PM
TV: CBS
Spread: GONZ -14
Total: 146

Preview

UCLA Offense vs. Gonzaga Defense

UCLA checks in at 14th nationally in Bart Torvik’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. The Bruins shoot 50.1 percent on twos and 37.2 percent on threes for a 51.9 effective field goal percentage.

Gonzaga is ranked 3rd nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. On the season, Gonzaga opponents make 46.6 percent of their twos and 32.2 percent of their threes for a 47.2 effective field goal percentage.

Basics
Extra Possessions
  • UCLA is unique because its guards are aggressive on the offensive glass. Perimeter players account for 27.9 percent of the Bruins’ offensive boards. That should put extra pressure on Gonzaga’s perimeter players to clean up the glass.
Shot Profile
  • UCLA is difficult to guard because it has 3 players on the roster shooting at least 38 percent from 3-point range on over 50 perimeter attempts.
  • UCLA’s offense is heavy on mid-range jumpers. The Bruins attempt 35 percent of their shots from the mid-range and connect at a 45 percent clip.
  • Gonzaga’s defense does a terrific job of funneling offensive players into pull-up 2-point attempts. Bulldogs opponents attempt 29 percent of their shots from the mid-range and connect at a 37 percent clip. UCLA’s offense shoots 45 percent on its mid-range attempts.
Style
  • Gonzaga’s defense is unique for its ability to prevent assists. Only 43.4 percent of made baskets are assisted against the Bulldogs.
  • UCLA trusts its players to create in one-on-one situations and scores 7.7 points per game out of iso actions and average 0.92 points per isolation play.

Gonzaga Offense vs. UCLA Defense

The Bulldogs are ranked 1st nationally in Bart Torvik’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. Gonzaga shoots 63.6 percent on twos and 37.4 percent on threes for a 61.1 effective field goal percentage.

UCLA’s defense is ranked 53rd nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Opponents shoot 49.8 percent on twos and 33.8 percent on threes for a 50.1 effective field goal percentage against the Bruins.

Basics
  • The Bulldogs are one of the biggest teams in the NCAA Tournament with an average height of 78.13 inches according to KenPom.com.
  • Gonzaga plays as fast as any team in the country. The Bulldogs average 75 possessions per game.
  • Gonzaga makes 74 percent of its free throws which should come in handy in a close game.
Extra Possessions
  • Gonzaga does a great job of valuing the basketball, turnovers on just 16.5 percent of possessions, and UCLA’s defense doesn’t prioritize forcing giveaways. The Bruins only force giveaways on 17.4 percent of opponent possessions, so expect a low turnover performance by Gonzaga’s offense.
  • Gonzaga does a terrific job turning defense into offense. The Bulldogs score 19.1 points points per game off of turnovers. UCLA avoids turnovers for touchdowns, allowing only 10.2 points per game off of giveaways.
  • Second chance points are crucial to Gonzaga’s offense. The Bulldogs score 11.1 points off of second chances and only allow 8.5 points per game, outscoring teams by 2.6 points per game just on second chance opportunities. UCLA has also been great on the glass this year, outscoring opponents by 2.3 points per game on second chances.
  • Gonzaga is unique because its guards are aggressive on the offensive glass. Perimeter players account for 34.8 percent of the Bulldogs’ offensive boards. That should put extra pressure on UCLA’s perimeter players to clean up the glass.
Shot Profile
  • UCLA allows opponents to attempt 39 percent of their shots from 3-point range. UCLA opponents are shooting 33 percent from 3-point range while Gonzaga is shooting 37 percent from outside and attempts 33 percent of its shots from long distance.
  • UCLA does a fantastic job of contesting jump shots. On the season, UCLA contests 63 percent of if its opponents catch and shoot attempts. Conversely, Gonzaga’s offense is fairly average at generating clean catch-and-shoot opportunities, 51 percent of the Bulldogs’ catch and shoot attempts have been contested this season.
  • Gonzaga dominates the paint. The Bulldogs score 49.4 points and allow 30.4 points per game in the paint, outscoring teams by 19.0 points per game.
  • Gonzaga is one of the best teams in the country at finishing around the basket. The Bulldogs shoot 71 percent at the rim and UCLA allows 55 percent shooting inside of five feet.
  • UCLA’s defense does a terrific job of funneling offensive players into pull-up 2-point attempts. Bruins opponents attempt 26 percent of their shots from the mid-range and connect at a 42 percent clip. Gonzaga’s offense shoots 42 percent on its mid-range attempts.
Style
  • Gonzaga loves to push the ball in transition. An impressive 22 percent of GONZ’s offensive plays are in transition and those transition plays create 18.5 points per game. UCLA’s defense does a great job of limiting transition opportunities and only allows 9.5 points per game in transition.
  • UCLA’s defense excels at preventing assisted field goals and forcing one-on-one play with a style of “no help” defense popularized by Luke Yaklich. The Bruins only allow their opponents to record assists on 48.4 percent of made baskets.
  • Gonzaga’s offense is built around the ball screen and averages 28.8 points per game out of ball screens at 1.03 points per ball screen play. UCLA’s defense is fairly average containing ball screen looks, allowing 0.83 points per ball screen play.
  • Gonzaga has one of the most dominant post-up offenses in the NCAA Tournament, averaging 11.1 points per game on 1.18 points per post-up play. UCLA’s defense should be up to the challenge, allowing 0.83 points per post-up play.

Bottom Line

According to Bart Torvik, Gonzaga is a 82-69 favorite with a 86 percent chance of advancing.

UCLA Personnel

#3 Johnny Juzang

Role: Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'6" | Weight: 210 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Mid-Range Specialist Off the Dribble Shooter Isolation Scorer Takes Tough Shots Go-To Guy Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter Above 80% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
14.7 4.1 1.6 108.4 25.6% 49.5%

#4 Jaime Jaquez

Role: Tall Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'6" | Weight: 220 lbs

Glue Guy Off the Dribble Shooter Isolation Scorer Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
11.9 6.2 1.5 116.0 18.8% 55.1%

#1 Jules Bernard

Role: Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'6" | Weight: 205 lbs

Mid-Range Specialist Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer Takes Tough Shots Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
10.7 4.9 1.6 112.8 20.5% 52.4%

#10 Tyger Campbell

Role: Domineering Ball Handler
Height: 5'11" | Weight: 180 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Distributor Mid-Range Specialist Off the Dribble Shooter Isolation Scorer Poor Finisher Takes Tough Shots
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
10.3 2.2 5.5 106.8 21.2% 45.2%

#2 Cody Riley

Role: Versatile Big
Height: 6'9" | Weight: 255 lbs

Post-Up Scorer Mid-Range Specialist Catch and Shoot Non Shooter Defensive Rebounder Takes Tough Shots Go-To Guy Gets to the Line Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
10 5.4 1.1 102.1 26.5% 55.1%

GONZ Personnel

#24 Corey Kispert

Role: Runaround Wing
Height: 6'7" | Weight: 220 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Off Screen Shooter Transition Scorer Off the Dribble Shooter Catch and Shoot Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter Above 80% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
19 4.9 1.7 134.5 20.7% 66.7%

#2 Drew Timme

Role: Post Up Big
Height: 6'10" | Weight: 235 lbs

Post-Up Scorer Finisher Roll Man Non Shooter Offensive Rebounder Go-To Guy Gets to the Line Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
18.9 7.2 2.3 129.8 26.7% 66.7%

#1 Jalen Suggs

Role: Primary Ball Handler
Height: 6'4" | Weight: 205 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Distributor Transition Scorer Pick Pocket Go-To Guy Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
13.8 5.3 4.4 108.8 25.5% 54.8%

#11 Joel Ayayi

Role: Reluctant Shooter
Height: 6'5" | Weight: 180 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Transition Scorer Off the Dribble Shooter Smart Shot Selection Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
12 7.1 2.8 128.8 16.4% 63.7%

#3 Andrew Nembhard

Role: Primary Ball Handler
Height: 6'5" | Weight: 193 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Distributor Mid-Range Specialist Transition Scorer Efficient Shooter Above 80% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
9.2 2.4 4.3 124.2 15.3% 56.1%

ATS

Gonzaga ATS Performance

This Season

Gonzaga is 15-13-1 against the spread this year. The over has hit in 15 of 29 Gonzaga games (51.7%) this season.

Gonzaga is 9-2-0 against the spread at neutral sites this year. The over has hit in 6 of Gonzaga’s 11 games on neutral floors (54.5%) this season.

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
11/26/2020 vs. Kansas W, 102-90 -2.5 W 9.5 147.5 OVER 44.5
11/27/2020 vs. Auburn W, 90-67 14.5 W 37.5 158.5 UNDER -1.5
12/2/2020 vs. West Virginia W, 87-82 -7.5 L -2.5 154 OVER 15
12/19/2020 vs. Iowa W, 99-88 -3.5 W 7.5 173.5 OVER 13.5
12/21/2020 Northwestern State W, 95-57 -38.5 L -0.5 168 UNDER -16
12/22/2020 Northwestern State W, 95-78 -40.5 L -23.5 171.5 OVER 1.5
12/26/2020 vs. Virginia W, 98-75 -7 W 16 139.5 OVER 33.5
12/28/2020 Northern Arizona W, 88-58 -38.5 L -8.5 156.5 UNDER -10.5
1/2/2021 San Francisco W, 85-62 -19.5 W 3.5 162.5 UNDER -15.5
1/7/2021 BYU W, 86-69 -18.5 L -1.5 163.5 UNDER -8.5
1/9/2021 at Portland W, 116-88 -32.5 L -4.5 162.5 OVER 41.5
1/14/2021 Pepperdine W, 95-70 -25.5 L -0.5 163.5 OVER 1.5
1/16/2021 at Saint Mary's W, 73-59 -15.5 L -1.5 146 UNDER -14
1/23/2021 Pacific W, 95-49 -26 W 20 149.5 UNDER -5.5
1/28/2021 at San Diego W, 90-62 -27.5 W 0.5 156 UNDER -4
1/30/2021 at Pepperdine W, 97-75 -22 P 0 163 OVER 9
2/4/2021 at Pacific W, 76-58 -23.5 L -5.5 151.5 UNDER -17.5
2/8/2021 at BYU W, 82-71 -11.5 L -0.5 155.5 UNDER -2.5
2/13/2021 at San Francisco W, 100-61 -16.5 W 22.5 156.5 OVER 4.5
2/18/2021 Saint Mary's W, 87-65 -21 W 1 142.5 OVER 9.5
2/20/2021 San Diego W, 106-69 -32.5 W 4.5 153.5 OVER 21.5
2/25/2021 Santa Clara W, 89-75 -30.5 L -16.5 155 OVER 9
2/27/2021 Loyola Marymount W, 86-69 -25 L -8 153.5 OVER 1.5
3/8/2021 vs. Saint Mary's W, 78-55 -18.5 W 4.5 141.5 UNDER -8.5
3/9/2021 vs. BYU W, 88-78 -14 L -4 154.5 OVER 11.5
3/20/2021 vs. Norfolk State W, 98-55 -34 W 9 154.5 UNDER -1.5
3/22/2021 vs. Oklahoma W, 87-71 -14 W 2 154 OVER 4
3/28/2021 vs. Creighton W, 83-65 -13 W 5 159 UNDER -11
3/30/2021 vs. USC W, 85-66 -9.5 W 9.5 155 UNDER -4

Head to Head

We don’t have any head-to-head games on file between these two teams.

UCLA ATS Performance

This Season

UCLA is 17-14-0 against the spread this year. The over has hit in 17 of 31 UCLA games (54.8%) this season.

UCLA is 6-2-0 against the spread at neutral sites this year. The over has hit in 5 of UCLA’s 8 games on neutral floors (62.5%) this season.

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
11/25/2020 at San Diego State L, 58-73 -3.5 L -18.5 134 UNDER -3
11/27/2020 vs. Pepperdine W, 107-98 7.5 W 16.5 143.5 OVER 61.5
12/3/2020 Seattle W, 78-52 -20 W 6 136.5 UNDER -6.5
12/6/2020 California W, 76-56 -10.5 W 9.5 130.5 OVER 1.5
12/9/2020 San Diego W, 83-56 -17.5 W 9.5 137 OVER 2
12/11/2020 Marquette W, 69-60 -4.5 W 4.5 140.5 UNDER -11.5
12/19/2020 vs. Ohio State L, 70-77 1.5 L -5.5 135.5 OVER 11.5
12/31/2020 Utah W, 72-70 -7.5 L -5.5 136 OVER 6
1/2/2021 Colorado W, 65-62 -2 W 1 137.5 UNDER -10.5
1/7/2021 at Arizona State W, 81-75 -1.5 W 4.5 150.5 OVER 5.5
1/9/2021 at Arizona W, 81-76 3 W 8 139.5 OVER 17.5
1/14/2021 Washington State W, 91-61 -9.5 W 20.5 131.5 OVER 20.5
1/16/2021 Washington W, 81-76 -14.5 L -9.5 141 OVER 16
1/21/2021 at California W, 61-57 -9 L -5 136.5 UNDER -18.5
1/23/2021 at Stanford L, 72-73 -4.5 L -5.5 138.5 OVER 6.5
1/30/2021 Oregon State W, 57-52 -11.5 L -6.5 135 UNDER -26
2/6/2021 at USC L, 48-66 3.5 L -14.5 135.5 UNDER -21.5
2/11/2021 at Washington State L, 73-81 -4 L -12 130 OVER 24
2/13/2021 at Washington W, 64-61 -9.5 L -6.5 141.5 UNDER -16.5
2/18/2021 Arizona W, 74-60 -1.5 W 12.5 140 UNDER -6
2/20/2021 Arizona State W, 80-79 -7.5 L -6.5 145.5 OVER 13.5
2/25/2021 at Utah W, 76-61 -1.5 W 13.5 136 OVER 1
2/27/2021 at Colorado L, 61-70 6.5 L -2.5 136.5 UNDER -5.5
3/3/2021 at Oregon L, 74-82 4 L -4 134 OVER 22
3/6/2021 USC L, 63-64 2.5 W 1.5 135.5 UNDER -8.5
3/11/2021 vs. Oregon State L, 79-83 -5 L -9 133.5 OVER 28.5
3/18/2021 vs. Michigan State W, 86-80 2 W 8 135.5 OVER 30.5
3/20/2021 vs. BYU W, 73-62 3.5 W 14.5 138.5 UNDER -3.5
3/22/2021 vs. Abilene Christian W, 67-47 -4.5 W 15.5 133 UNDER -19
3/28/2021 vs. Alabama W, 88-78 6.5 W 16.5 145 OVER 21
3/30/2021 vs. Michigan W, 51-49 7.5 W 9.5 137 UNDER -37

Head to Head

We don’t have any head-to-head games on file between these two teams.

Note: Our ATS data dates back to the 2017-18 season.

News

News Updates

News updates via RotoWire.
  • Drew Timme (03/30): Timme tallied 23 points (10-19 FG, 0-1 3Pt, 3-4 FT), five rebounds and four assists across 31 minutes in Tuesday's 85-66 win over USC.
  • Jalen Suggs (03/30): Suggs recorded 18 points (7-11 FG, 2-4 3Pt, 2-2 FT), 10 rebounds and eight assists in 35 minutes during Tuesday's 85-66 victory over USC.
  • Jaime Jaquez (03/28): Jaquez posted 17 points (6-13 FG, 2-6 3Pt, 3-4 FT), eight rebounds and three assists in 45 minutes during Sunday's 88-78 overtime win over Alabama.
  • David Singleton (03/28): Singleton tallied 15 points (4-5 FG, 3-4 3Pt, 4-5 FT), three rebounds and zero assists across 20 minutes in Sunday's 88-78 overtime victory over Alabama.
  • Drew Timme (03/28): Timme recorded 22 points (10-14 FG, 0-1 3Pt, 2-3 FT), six rebounds and four assists in 27 minutes during Sunday's 83-65 win over Creighton.
  • Andrew Nembhard (03/28): Nembhard posted 17 points (7-9 FG, 3-5 3Pt, 0-0 FT), four rebounds and eight assists across 36 minutes in Sunday's 83-65 victory over Creighton.
  • Cody Riley (03/23): Riley tallied 12 points (5-7 FG, 0-0 3Pt, 2-6 FT), 12 rebounds and one assist in 31 minutes during Monday's 67-47 victory over Abilene Christian.
  • Johnny Juzang (03/23): Juzang recorded 17 points (7-15 FG, 3-7 3Pt, 0-0 FT), three rebounds and one assist across 27 minutes in Monday's 67-47 win over Abilene Christian.
  • Corey Kispert (03/23): Kispert posted 16 points (5-11 FG, 4-8 3Pt, 2-2 FT), three rebounds and zero assists in 30 minutes during Monday's 87-71 win over Oklahoma.
  • Drew Timme (03/23): Timme tallied 30 points (9-12 FG, 0-0 3Pt, 12-14 FT), 13 rebounds and four assists across 34 minutes in Monday's 87-71 victory over Oklahoma.
  • Anton Watson (03/21): Watson posted 17 points (7-7 FG, 1-1 3Pt, 2-2 FT), seven rebounds and four assists in 24 minutes during Saturday's 98-55 victory over Norfolk St.
  • Cody Riley (03/21): Riley posted three points (1-1 FG, 0-0 3Pt, 1-2 FT), three rebounds and one assist across 18 minutes in Saturday's 73-62 victory over BYU.
  • Joel Ayayi (03/21): Ayayi posted 15 points (6-12 FG, 1-3 3Pt, 2-2 FT), nine rebounds and two assists across 28 minutes in Saturday's 98-55 victory over Norfolk St.
  • Johnny Juzang (03/21): Juzang posted 27 points (10-16 FG, 3-7 3Pt, 4-5 FT), five rebounds and zero assists across 38 minutes in Saturday's 73-62 victory over BYU.
  • Johnny Juzang (03/20): Juzang is in the starting lineup for Saturday's game against BYU.
  • Johnny Juzang (03/19): Coach Mick Cronin hopes to have Juzang (ankle) available for Saturday's NCAA Tournament clash with BYU, Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports reports.
  • Johnny Juzang (03/19): Juzang suffered a right ankle sprain during Thursday's overtime win over Michigan State, Ben Bolch of the Los Angeles Times reports.
  • Tyger Campbell (03/19): Campbell tallied seven points (2-6 FG, 1-2 3Pt, 2-2 FT), zero rebounds and four assists across 34 minutes in Wednesday's 86-80 overtime victory over Michigan St.
  • Jules Bernard (03/19): Bernard recorded 11 points (4-8 FG, 1-2 3Pt, 2-4 FT), eight rebounds and two assists in 38 minutes during Wednesday's 86-80 overtime win over Michigan St.
  • Jaime Jaquez (03/19): Jaquez posted 27 points (11-20 FG, 3-4 3Pt, 2-4 FT), four rebounds and two assists across 45 minutes in Wednesday's 86-80 overtime victory over Michigan St.
  • Jalen Hill (03/18): Hill (personal) won't play in Thursday's game against Michigan State, Ben Bolch of the Los Angeles Times reports.
  • Cody Riley (03/12): Riley recorded seven points (2-7 FG, 0-0 3Pt, 3-4 FT), six rebounds and one assist in 27 minutes during Thursday's 83-79 overtime loss to Oregon St.
  • Johnny Juzang (03/12): Juzang posted 12 points (5-10 FG, 1-6 3Pt, 1-2 FT), two rebounds and one assist in 24 minutes during Thursday's 83-79 overtime loss to Oregon St.
  • Mac Etienne (03/11): Etienne will return to the bench for Thursday's game against Oregon State.
  • Johnny Juzang (03/11): Juzang (ankle) is among the starters for Thursday's game against Oregon State.