Preview: UCLA vs. Alabama

Game UCLA Bruins vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Date: March 28th, 2021 7:15 PM
TV: TBS
Spread: ALA -7 Open -5
Total: 144.5 Open 144

Preview

UCLA Offense vs. Alabama Defense

UCLA checks in at 12th nationally in Bart Torvik’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. The Bruins shoot 50.1 percent on twos and 37.2 percent on threes for a 51.9 effective field goal percentage.

Alabama is ranked 3rd nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. On the season, Alabama opponents make 46.8 percent of their twos and 29.1 percent of their threes for a 45.8 effective field goal percentage.

Basics
Extra Possessions
  • UCLA does a great job of maximizing its offensive possessions and valuing the basketball. The Bruins only turn it over on 15.9 percent of their offensive possessions. That sets up a strength on strength battle against a Alabama defense that forces giveaways on 20.5 percent of possessions.
  • UCLA is unique because its guards are aggressive on the offensive glass. Perimeter players account for 27.9 percent of the Bruins’ offensive boards. That should put extra pressure on Alabama’s perimeter players to clean up the glass.
Shot Profile
  • Alabama does a fantastic job of contesting jump shots. On the season, ALA contests 57 percent of if its opponents catch and shoot attempts. Conversely, UCLA’s offense is fairly average at generating clean catch-and-shoot opportunities, 51 percent of the Bruins’ catch and shoot attempts have been contested this season.
  • UCLA is difficult to guard because it has 3 players on the roster shooting at least 38 percent from 3-point range on over 50 perimeter attempts.
  • UCLA’s offense is heavy on mid-range jumpers. The Bruins attempt 35 percent of their shots from the mid-range and connect at a 45 percent clip.
  • Alabama’s defense does a terrific job of funneling offensive players into pull-up 2-point attempts. Crimson Tide opponents attempt 27 percent of their shots from the mid-range and connect at a 36 percent clip. UCLA’s offense shoots 45 percent on its mid-range attempts.
Style
  • Alabama’s defense is unique for its ability to prevent assists. Only 44 percent of made baskets are assisted against the Crimson Tide.
  • UCLA trusts its players to create in one-on-one situations and scores 7.7 points per game out of iso actions and average 0.92 points per isolation play.

Alabama Offense vs. UCLA Defense

Alabama checks in at 31st nationally in Bart Torvik’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. The Crimson Tide shoot 50.7 percent on twos and 35.3 percent on threes for a 51.7 effective field goal percentage.

UCLA is ranked 61st nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. On the season, UCLA opponents make 49.8 percent of their twos and 33.8 percent of their threes for a 50.1 effective field goal percentage.

Basics
  • The Crimson Tide are one of the biggest teams in the NCAA Tournament with an average height of 77.74 inches according to KenPom.com.
  • Alabama plays as fast as any team in the country. The Crimson Tide average 74 possessions per game.
Extra Possessions
  • The game should be fairly turnover neutral on this side of the ball. Alabama turns it over on 18.6 percent of possessions and UCLA forces giveaways on 17.4 percent of possessions.
  • Alabama does a terrific job turning defense into offense. The Crimson Tide score 16.9 points points per game off of turnovers. UCLA avoids turnovers for touchdowns, allowing only 10.3 points per game off of giveaways.
  • The Crimson Tide are fantastic on the offensive glass and rebound 32.8 percent of their missed shots. UCLA is one of the better defensive rebounding teams in the field, grabbing 74.1 percent of opponent misses, which should negate this advantage.
Shot Profile
  • Alabama’s offensive attack is perimeter-oriented. The Crimson Tide attempt 46 percent of their shots from 3-point range. The Crimson Tide also make a lot of those attempts, shooting 35 percent from outside the arc. UCLA’s defense is vulnerable against the three, allowing its opponents to attempt 39 percent of their shots from outside the arc.
  • UCLA does a fantastic job of contesting jump shots. On the season, UCLA contests 63 percent of if its opponents catch and shoot attempts. Conversely, Alabama’s offense is fairly average at generating clean catch-and-shoot opportunities, 51 percent of the Crimson Tide’ catch and shoot attempts have been contested this season.
  • Alabama is difficult to guard because it has 3 players on the roster shooting at least 38 percent from 3-point range on over 50 perimeter attempts.
  • Alabama is a tough scout because its bigs can stretch the floor. The Crimson Tide have one big with at least 75 3-point attempts including Alex Reese.
  • Alabama is one of the worst finishing teams in the country. The Crimson Tide are shooting just 53 percent at the rim and UCLA allows 55 percent shooting inside of five feet.
  • UCLA’s defense does a terrific job of funneling offensive players into pull-up 2-point attempts. Bruins opponents attempt 26 percent of their shots from the mid-range and connect at a 42 percent clip. Alabama’s offense shoots 34 percent on its mid-range attempts.
Style
  • Alabama loves to push the ball in transition. An impressive 24.9 percent of ALA’s offensive plays are in transition and those transition plays create 21.5 points per game. UCLA’s defense does a great job of limiting transition opportunities and only allows 9.5 points per game in transition.
  • UCLA’s defense is unique for its ability to prevent assists. Only 48.4 percent of made baskets are assisted against the Bruins.
  • Alabama has guards who can get buckets. The Crimson Tide score 10.2 points per game out of isolation sets and score 0.81 points per isolation action. UCLA’s defense struggles to defend one-on-one, allowing 0.98 points per isolation play.

Bottom Line

According to Bart Torvik, Alabama is a 73-70 favorite with a 61 percent chance of advancing.

UCLA Personnel

#3 Johnny Juzang

Role: Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'6" | Weight: 210 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Mid-Range Specialist Off the Dribble Shooter Isolation Scorer Takes Tough Shots Go-To Guy Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter Above 80% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
14.7 4.1 1.6 108.4 25.6% 49.5%

#4 Jaime Jaquez

Role: Tall Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'6" | Weight: 220 lbs

Glue Guy Off the Dribble Shooter Isolation Scorer Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
11.9 6.2 1.5 116.0 18.8% 55.1%

#1 Jules Bernard

Role: Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'6" | Weight: 205 lbs

Mid-Range Specialist Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer Takes Tough Shots Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
10.7 4.9 1.6 112.8 20.5% 52.4%

#10 Tyger Campbell

Role: Domineering Ball Handler
Height: 5'11" | Weight: 180 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Distributor Mid-Range Specialist Off the Dribble Shooter Isolation Scorer Poor Finisher Takes Tough Shots
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
10.3 2.2 5.5 106.8 21.2% 45.2%

#2 Cody Riley

Role: Versatile Big
Height: 6'9" | Weight: 255 lbs

Post-Up Scorer Mid-Range Specialist Catch and Shoot Non Shooter Defensive Rebounder Takes Tough Shots Go-To Guy Gets to the Line Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
10 5.4 1.1 102.1 26.5% 55.1%

ALA Personnel

#5 Jaden Shackelford

Role: Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'3" | Weight: 195 lbs

Transition Scorer Isolation Scorer Avoids Turnovers
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
14 3.8 2 109.9 22.8% 49.3%

#23 John Petty

Role: Tall Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'5" | Weight: 184 lbs

Transition Scorer Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
12.6 5.2 1.9 108.3 19.8% 53.8%

#13 Jahvon Quinerly

Role: Domineering Ball Handler
Height: 6'1" | Weight: 175 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Distributor Transition Scorer Off the Dribble Shooter Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer Go-To Guy Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
12.8 2.1 3.2 110.1 26.2% 56.4%

#1 Herbert Jones

Role: Reluctant Shooter
Height: 6'7" | Weight: 205 lbs

Post-Up Scorer Distributor Transition Scorer Turnover Prone Pick Pocket Isolation Scorer Poor Finisher Go-To Guy Gets to the Line
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
11.2 6.6 3.3 103.3 25.4% 48.1%

#11 Joshua Primo

Role: Tall Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'6" | Weight: 185 lbs

Transition Scorer Corner 3-Point Specialist Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
8.1 3.4 0.8 106.1 17.6% 54.1%

ATS

Alabama ATS Performance

This Season

Alabama is 18-15-0 against the spread this year. The over has hit in 18 of 33 Alabama games (54.5%) this season.

Alabama is 5-5-0 against the spread at neutral sites this year. The over has hit in 6 of Alabama’s 10 games on neutral floors (60%) this season.

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
11/25/2020 Jacksonville State W, 81-57 -19.5 W 4.5 149.5 UNDER -11.5
11/30/2020 vs. Stanford L, 64-82 0 L -18 149 UNDER -3
12/1/2020 vs. UNLV W, 86-74 -9.5 W 2.5 155.5 OVER 4.5
12/2/2020 vs. Providence W, 88-71 -1 W 16 150.5 OVER 8.5
12/12/2020 vs. Clemson L, 56-64 2 L -6 144.5 UNDER -24.5
12/15/2020 Furman W, 83-80 -6.5 L -3.5 150.5 OVER 12.5
12/19/2020 Western Kentucky L, 71-73 -6.5 L -8.5 154.5 UNDER -10.5
12/22/2020 East Tennessee State W, 85-69 -14.5 W 1.5 140.5 OVER 13.5
12/29/2020 Ole Miss W, 82-64 0 W 18 142.5 OVER 3.5
1/2/2021 at Tennessee W, 71-63 9.5 W 17.5 142.5 UNDER -8.5
1/5/2021 Florida W, 86-71 -2.5 W 12.5 153.5 OVER 3.5
1/9/2021 at Auburn W, 94-90 -5 L -1 150.5 OVER 33.5
1/12/2021 at Kentucky W, 85-65 2 W 22 148 OVER 2
1/16/2021 Arkansas W, 90-59 -2 W 29 161.5 UNDER -12.5
1/19/2021 at LSU W, 105-75 1 W 31 163.5 OVER 16.5
1/23/2021 Mississippi State W, 81-73 -9.5 L -1.5 149 OVER 5
1/26/2021 Kentucky W, 70-59 -8 W 3 147 UNDER -18
1/30/2021 at Oklahoma L, 61-66 -1.5 L -6.5 154.5 UNDER -27.5
2/3/2021 LSU W, 78-60 -8.5 W 9.5 164 UNDER -26
2/6/2021 at Missouri L, 65-68 -2.5 L -5.5 152.5 UNDER -19.5
2/9/2021 at South Carolina W, 81-78 -6.5 L -3.5 155.5 OVER 3.5
2/13/2021 Georgia W, 115-82 -13 W 20 158.5 OVER 38.5
2/20/2021 Vanderbilt W, 82-78 -14 L -10 155.5 OVER 4.5
2/24/2021 at Arkansas L, 66-81 -1.5 L -16.5 157.5 UNDER -10.5
2/27/2021 at Mississippi State W, 64-59 -6 L -1 143.5 UNDER -20.5
3/2/2021 Auburn W, 70-58 -10.5 W 1.5 157 UNDER -29
3/6/2021 at Georgia W, 89-79 -7 W 3 160.5 OVER 7.5
3/12/2021 vs. Mississippi State W, 85-48 -8.5 W 28.5 141 UNDER -8
3/13/2021 vs. Tennessee W, 73-68 -4.5 W 0.5 139.5 OVER 1.5
3/14/2021 vs. LSU W, 80-79 -6.5 L -5.5 157.5 OVER 1.5
3/20/2021 vs. Iona W, 68-55 -17 L -4 147 UNDER -24
3/22/2021 vs. Maryland W, 96-77 -6 W 13 137.5 OVER 35.5
3/28/2021 vs. UCLA L, 78-88 -6.5 L -16.5 145 OVER 21

Head to Head

Alabama is 0-1-0 against the spread when it plays against UCLA in recorded games since 2021. The over has hit in 1 out of 1 recorded head-to-head games (100%).

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
3/28/2021 vs. UCLA L, 78-88 -6.5 L -16.5 145 OVER 21

UCLA ATS Performance

This Season

UCLA is 16-14-0 against the spread this year. The over has hit in 17 of 30 UCLA games (56.7%) this season.

UCLA is 5-2-0 against the spread at neutral sites this year. The over has hit in 5 of UCLA’s 7 games on neutral floors (71.4%) this season.

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
11/25/2020 at San Diego State L, 58-73 -3.5 L -18.5 134 UNDER -3
11/27/2020 vs. Pepperdine W, 107-98 7.5 W 16.5 143.5 OVER 61.5
12/3/2020 Seattle W, 78-52 -20 W 6 136.5 UNDER -6.5
12/6/2020 California W, 76-56 -10.5 W 9.5 130.5 OVER 1.5
12/9/2020 San Diego W, 83-56 -17.5 W 9.5 137 OVER 2
12/11/2020 Marquette W, 69-60 -4.5 W 4.5 140.5 UNDER -11.5
12/19/2020 vs. Ohio State L, 70-77 1.5 L -5.5 135.5 OVER 11.5
12/31/2020 Utah W, 72-70 -7.5 L -5.5 136 OVER 6
1/2/2021 Colorado W, 65-62 -2 W 1 137.5 UNDER -10.5
1/7/2021 at Arizona State W, 81-75 -1.5 W 4.5 150.5 OVER 5.5
1/9/2021 at Arizona W, 81-76 3 W 8 139.5 OVER 17.5
1/14/2021 Washington State W, 91-61 -9.5 W 20.5 131.5 OVER 20.5
1/16/2021 Washington W, 81-76 -14.5 L -9.5 141 OVER 16
1/21/2021 at California W, 61-57 -9 L -5 136.5 UNDER -18.5
1/23/2021 at Stanford L, 72-73 -4.5 L -5.5 138.5 OVER 6.5
1/30/2021 Oregon State W, 57-52 -11.5 L -6.5 135 UNDER -26
2/6/2021 at USC L, 48-66 3.5 L -14.5 135.5 UNDER -21.5
2/11/2021 at Washington State L, 73-81 -4 L -12 130 OVER 24
2/13/2021 at Washington W, 64-61 -9.5 L -6.5 141.5 UNDER -16.5
2/18/2021 Arizona W, 74-60 -1.5 W 12.5 140 UNDER -6
2/20/2021 Arizona State W, 80-79 -7.5 L -6.5 145.5 OVER 13.5
2/25/2021 at Utah W, 76-61 -1.5 W 13.5 136 OVER 1
2/27/2021 at Colorado L, 61-70 6.5 L -2.5 136.5 UNDER -5.5
3/3/2021 at Oregon L, 74-82 4 L -4 134 OVER 22
3/6/2021 USC L, 63-64 2.5 W 1.5 135.5 UNDER -8.5
3/11/2021 vs. Oregon State L, 79-83 -5 L -9 133.5 OVER 28.5
3/18/2021 vs. Michigan State W, 86-80 2 W 8 135.5 OVER 30.5
3/20/2021 vs. BYU W, 73-62 3.5 W 14.5 138.5 UNDER -3.5
3/22/2021 vs. Abilene Christian W, 67-47 -4.5 W 15.5 133 UNDER -19
3/28/2021 vs. Alabama W, 88-78 6.5 W 16.5 145 OVER 21

Head to Head

UCLA is 1-0-0 against the spread when it plays against Alabama in recorded games since 2021. The over has hit in 1 out of 1 recorded head-to-head games (100%).

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
3/28/2021 vs. Alabama W, 88-78 6.5 W 16.5 145 OVER 21
Note: Our ATS data dates back to the 2017-18 season.

News

News Updates

News updates via RotoWire.
  • Jaime Jaquez (03/28): Jaquez posted 17 points (6-13 FG, 2-6 3Pt, 3-4 FT), eight rebounds and three assists in 45 minutes during Sunday's 88-78 overtime win over Alabama.
  • David Singleton (03/28): Singleton tallied 15 points (4-5 FG, 3-4 3Pt, 4-5 FT), three rebounds and zero assists across 20 minutes in Sunday's 88-78 overtime victory over Alabama.
  • Jordan Bruner (03/28): Bruner is in the starting lineup for Sunday's game against UCLA.
  • John Petty (03/23): Petty managed 20 points (7-15 FG, 4-9 3Pt, 2-2 FT), six rebounds, two assists and two steals during Monday's NCAA Tournament win over Maryland.
  • Jaden Shackelford (03/23): Shackelford tallied 21 points (6-11 FG, 5-8 3Pt, 4-4 FT), three rebounds, three assists and one steal during Monday's NCAA Tournament win over Maryland.
  • Cody Riley (03/23): Riley tallied 12 points (5-7 FG, 0-0 3Pt, 2-6 FT), 12 rebounds and one assist in 31 minutes during Monday's 67-47 victory over Abilene Christian.
  • Johnny Juzang (03/23): Juzang recorded 17 points (7-15 FG, 3-7 3Pt, 0-0 FT), three rebounds and one assist across 27 minutes in Monday's 67-47 win over Abilene Christian.
  • Joshua Primo (03/22): Primo (knee) posted 10 points (4-6 FG, 2-4 3Pt) and four rebounds during Monday's NCAA Tournament win over Maryland.
  • Jordan Bruner (03/22): Bruner is not in the starting lineup for Monday's game against Maryland.
  • Joshua Primo (03/21): Primo will be a game-time decision for Monday's game against Maryland, according to Michael Casagrande of AL.com.
  • Cody Riley (03/21): Riley posted three points (1-1 FG, 0-0 3Pt, 1-2 FT), three rebounds and one assist across 18 minutes in Saturday's 73-62 victory over BYU.
  • Johnny Juzang (03/21): Juzang posted 27 points (10-16 FG, 3-7 3Pt, 4-5 FT), five rebounds and zero assists across 38 minutes in Saturday's 73-62 victory over BYU.
  • Johnny Juzang (03/20): Juzang is in the starting lineup for Saturday's game against BYU.
  • Joshua Primo (03/20): Primo (knee) is in uniform but not participating in warmups ahead of Saturday's NCAA Tournament opener versus Iona, Michael Casagrande of AL.com reports.
  • Johnny Juzang (03/19): Coach Mick Cronin hopes to have Juzang (ankle) available for Saturday's NCAA Tournament clash with BYU, Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports reports.
  • Johnny Juzang (03/19): Juzang suffered a right ankle sprain during Thursday's overtime win over Michigan State, Ben Bolch of the Los Angeles Times reports.
  • Tyger Campbell (03/19): Campbell tallied seven points (2-6 FG, 1-2 3Pt, 2-2 FT), zero rebounds and four assists across 34 minutes in Wednesday's 86-80 overtime victory over Michigan St.
  • Jules Bernard (03/19): Bernard recorded 11 points (4-8 FG, 1-2 3Pt, 2-4 FT), eight rebounds and two assists in 38 minutes during Wednesday's 86-80 overtime win over Michigan St.
  • Jaime Jaquez (03/19): Jaquez posted 27 points (11-20 FG, 3-4 3Pt, 2-4 FT), four rebounds and two assists across 45 minutes in Wednesday's 86-80 overtime victory over Michigan St.
  • Jalen Hill (03/18): Hill (personal) won't play in Thursday's game against Michigan State, Ben Bolch of the Los Angeles Times reports.
  • Joshua Primo (03/17): Coach Nate Oats said that Primo (knee) is yet to even start jogging yet, Mike Rodak of AL.com reports.
  • Joshua Primo (03/15): Primo (knee) "will see how rehab goes this week" before deciding whether he can play against Iona or not, Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports reports.
  • Herbert Jones (03/15): Jones recorded 13 points (6-16 FG, 0-3 3Pt, 1-2 FT), 11 rebounds, six assists, four blocks and one steal during Sunday's SEC Tournament Championship win over LSU.
  • John Petty (03/15): Petty mustered four points (2-8 FG, 0-3 3Pt), six rebounds and two steals during Sunday's SEC Tournament Championship victory over LSU.
  • Jaden Shackelford (03/15): Shackelford tallied 21 points (8-19 FG, 5-13 3Pt), five rebounds, four assists and one steal during Sunday's SEC Tournament Championship win over LSU.