Preview: Oral Roberts vs. Florida

Game Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Florida Gators
Date: March 21st, 2021 7:45 PM
TV: truTV
Spread: FLA -9 Open -7.5
Total: 149.5 Open 148.5

Preview

Oral Roberts Offense vs. Florida Defense

Oral Roberts checks in at 79th nationally in Bart Torvik’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. The Golden Eagles shoot 49.9 percent on twos and 37.7 percent on threes for a 53 effective field goal percentage.

Florida is ranked 40th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. On the season, Florida opponents make 48.8 percent of their twos and 30.8 percent of their threes for a 47.8 effective field goal percentage.

Basics
  • Florida’s defense has been struggling over the last month. The Gators are ranked 105th in adjusted defensive efficiency over the last 30 days compared to 40th for the season.
  • Oral Roberts plays as fast as any team in the country. The Golden Eagles average 73 possessions per game. Florida also loves to play fast and averages 71 possessions per game
  • Florida plays zone defense on 8.6 percent of their defensive plays, per Synergy, and allow 0.92 points per play when they go with the zone look. Oral Roberts averages 0.98 points per play against zone defenses, making this a fairly neutral matchup.
  • Oral Roberts does a great job attacking full-court pressure defenses, scoring 1.07 points per play. Florida’s applies full court pressure on 19 percent of possessions which should allow the Golden Eagles to create an offensive advantage.
  • You can trust Oral Roberts at the line in a close game. The Golden Eagles shoot 82 percent at the line for the season.
Extra Possessions
  • Oral Roberts does a great job of maximizing its offensive possessions and valuing the basketball. The Golden Eagles only turn it over on 15.5 percent of their offensive possessions. That sets up a strength on strength battle against a Florida defense that forces giveaways on 20.4 percent of possessions.
Shot Profile
  • Oral Roberts’s offensive attack is perimeter-oriented. The Golden Eagles attempt 47 percent of their shots from 3-point range. The Golden Eagles also make a lot of those attempts, shooting 38 percent from outside the arc.
  • Florida only contests 45 percent of if its opponents catch and shoot attempts. Conversely, Oral Roberts excels at creating open jumpers. Only 43 percent of the Golden Eagles’ catch and shoot attempts have been contested this season.
  • Oral Roberts is difficult to guard because it has 3 players on the roster shooting at least 38 percent from 3-point range on over 50 perimeter attempts.
  • Oral Roberts is a tough scout because its bigs can stretch the floor. The Golden Eagles have 3 bigs with at least 75 3-point attempts including Kevin Obanor.
Style
  • Oral Roberts is reliant on ball screen screen offense. The Golden Eagles score 31.4 points per game out of ball screen actions at 1.01 points per play. Florida’s defense is fairly average containing ball screen looks. Opponents score 0.85 points per ball screen action (including pass-outs) against the Gators.
  • Oral Roberts trusts its players to create in one-on-one situations and scores 7.5 points per game out of iso actions and average 0.85 points per isolation play.

Florida Offense vs. Oral Roberts Defense

The Gators are ranked 45th nationally in Bart Torvik’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. Florida shoots 53.1 percent on twos and 35.5 percent on threes for a 53.1 effective field goal percentage.

Oral Roberts defense is ranked 221st nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Opponents shoot 49.4 percent on twos and 34.4 percent on threes for a 50.1 effective field goal percentage against the Golden Eagles.

Basics
  • Florida’s offense enters the tournament on a cold streak. Over the last 30 days, the Gators are ranked 89th in adjusted offensive efficiency compared to 45th for the year.
  • Oral Roberts defense has been shutting teams down over the last month and is ranked 83rd in adjusted defensive efficiency over that span compared to 221st for the season.
  • Florida is overseeded according to efficiency metrics. The 7th seeded Gators are ranked 38th nationally, per Bart Torvik, and their computer numbers suggest they are more like a 8 or 9 seed.
  • The Gators have a notable size advantage on the inside, their power forwards and centers rank in the 81st percentile in height compared to Oral Roberts bigs which rank in the 39th percentile.
  • Florida plays as fast as any team in the country. The Gators average 71 possessions per game. Oral Roberts also loves to play fast and averages 73 possessions per game
  • Florida makes 75 percent of its free throws which should come in handy in a close game.
Extra Possessions
  • Florida does a terrific job turning defense into offense. The Gators score 15.8 points points per game off of turnovers.
Shot Profile
  • Oral Roberts does a great job running its opponents off the 3-point line. ORU opponents attempt 32 percent of their shots from 3-point range and are shooting 34 percent from 3-point range while Florida is shooting 36 percent from outside and attempts 33 percent of its shots from long distance.
  • Florida is one of the best teams in the country at finishing around the basket. The Gators shoot 59 percent at the rim and Oral Roberts allows 55 percent shooting inside of five feet.
  • Florida’s offense is heavy on mid-range jumpers. The Gators attempt 26 percent of their shots from the mid-range and connect at a 41 percent clip.
Style
  • Oral Roberts defense excels at preventing assisted field goals and forcing one-on-one play with a style of “no help” defense popularized by Luke Yaklich. The Golden Eagles only allow their opponents to record assists on 44.3 percent of made baskets.
  • Florida’s offense is built around the ball screen and averages 27.0 points per game out of ball screens at 0.92 points per ball screen play. Oral Roberts defense is fairly average containing ball screen looks, allowing 0.89 points per ball screen play.
  • Florida runs a lot of isolation actions. The Gators score 7.4 points per game out of isolation at 0.70 points per play. Oral Roberts defense is fairly average defending isolations. Opponents score 0.82 points per isolation action (including pass-outs) against the Golden Eagles.

Bottom Line

Bart Torvik projects a 80-71 Florida win over Oral Roberts and gives the Gators a 81 percent chance at picking up the victory.

ORU Personnel

#3 Max Abmas

Role: Primary Ball Handler
Height: 6'1" | Weight: 165 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Distributor Transition Scorer Off the Dribble Shooter Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer Takes Tough Shots Mega Usage Minutes Logger Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter Above 80% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
24.6 3.2 3.9 121.8 28.6% 58.5%

#0 Kevin Obanor

Role: Versatile Big
Height: 6'8" | Weight: 225 lbs

Post-Up Scorer Stretch Big Man Pick and Pop Roll Man Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer Defensive Rebounder Go-To Guy Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter Above 80% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
18.7 9.6 1.1 117.3 25.9% 58.2%

#2 Kareem Thompson

Role: Secondary Ball Handler
Height: 6'6" | Weight: 190 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Corner 3-Point Specialist Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer Poor Finisher
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
8.6 3.7 1.9 103.7 16.5% 50.9%

#10 RJ Glasper

Role: Domineering Ball Handler
Height: 6'0" | Weight: 180 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Transition Scorer Isolation Scorer Takes Tough Shots Above 80% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
11 3.1 1.9 105.5 19.2% 51.3%

#14 DeShang Weaver

Role: Pick and Pop Big
Height: 6'8" | Weight: 200 lbs

Stretch Big Man Off the Dribble Shooter Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
6 2.5 0.4 107.4 14.8% 54.2%

FLA Personnel

#1 Tre Mann

Role: Domineering Ball Handler
Height: 6'5" | Weight: 190 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Distributor Mid-Range Specialist Transition Scorer Pick Pocket Off the Dribble Shooter Isolation Scorer Takes Tough Shots Go-To Guy Efficient Shooter Above 80% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
16 5.6 3.5 110.2 26.3% 53.6%
🔥🔥🔥: Mann is averaging 21.2 points per game over the last 5 games. That’s 5.2 points above his season average.

#12 Colin Castleton

Role: Versatile Big
Height: 6'11" | Weight: 231 lbs

Post-Up Scorer Finisher Rim Protector Non Shooter Offensive Rebounder Gets to the Line
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
12.4 6.4 1.1 117.8 23.2% 59.7%

#22 Tyree Appleby

Role: Primary Ball Handler
Height: 6'1" | Weight: 170 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Distributor Transition Scorer Turnover Prone Pick Pocket Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer Poor Finisher Gets to the Line Above 80% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
11.3 3.1 3.3 101.8 23.7% 48.5%

#10 Noah Locke

Role: Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'3" | Weight: 203 lbs

Corner 3-Point Specialist Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer Poor Finisher Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
10.6 2.4 0.7 112.0 16.5% 55.2%

#23 Scottie Lewis

Role: Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'5" | Weight: 189 lbs

Mid-Range Specialist Pick Pocket Isolation Scorer Gets to the Line
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
7.9 3.1 1.5 97.8 18.4% 50%

ATS

Florida ATS Performance

This Season

Florida is 11-14-0 against the spread this year. The over has hit in 13 of 25 Florida games (52%) this season.

Florida is 2-4-0 against the spread at neutral sites this year. The over has hit in 4 of Florida’s 6 games on neutral floors (66.7%) this season.

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
12/2/2020 vs. Army W, 76-69 -23 L -16 148 UNDER -3
12/3/2020 vs. Boston College W, 90-70 -7.5 W 12.5 142.5 OVER 17.5
12/6/2020 Stetson W, 86-40 -22 W 24 138.5 UNDER -12.5
12/12/2020 at Florida State L, 71-83 1.5 L -10.5 135.5 OVER 18.5
12/30/2020 at Vanderbilt W, 91-72 -6 W 13 141 OVER 22
1/2/2021 LSU W, 83-79 -1 W 3 152.5 OVER 9.5
1/5/2021 at Alabama L, 71-86 2.5 L -12.5 153.5 OVER 3.5
1/9/2021 Kentucky L, 58-76 -4.5 L -22.5 141 UNDER -7
1/12/2021 Ole Miss W, 72-63 -3.5 W 5.5 138.5 UNDER -3.5
1/16/2021 at Mississippi State L, 69-72 -1 L -4 136 OVER 5
1/19/2021 Tennessee W, 75-49 6.5 W 32.5 137.5 UNDER -13.5
1/23/2021 at Georgia W, 92-84 -4 W 4 151.5 OVER 24.5
1/27/2021 Vanderbilt W, 78-71 -13 L -6 146.5 OVER 2.5
1/30/2021 at West Virginia W, 85-80 5 W 10 147.5 OVER 17.5
2/3/2021 South Carolina L, 66-72 -8.5 L -14.5 151.5 UNDER -13.5
2/16/2021 at Arkansas L, 64-75 5 L -6 150 UNDER -11
2/20/2021 Georgia W, 70-63 -8 L -1 154.5 UNDER -21.5
2/23/2021 at Auburn W, 74-57 -1.5 W 15.5 155.5 UNDER -24.5
2/27/2021 at Kentucky W, 71-67 2 W 6 142.5 UNDER -4.5
3/3/2021 Missouri L, 70-72 -4 L -6 141 OVER 1
3/7/2021 at Tennessee L, 54-65 5.5 L -5.5 136.5 UNDER -17.5
3/11/2021 vs. Vanderbilt W, 69-63 -8.5 L -2.5 145.5 UNDER -13.5
3/12/2021 vs. Tennessee L, 66-78 3 L -9 133 OVER 11
3/19/2021 vs. Virginia Tech W, 75-70 -1 W 4 135 OVER 10
3/21/2021 vs. Oral Roberts L, 78-81 -8.5 L -11.5 148 OVER 11

Head to Head

Florida is 0-1-0 against the spread when it plays against Oral Roberts in recorded games since 2021. The over has hit in 1 out of 1 recorded head-to-head games (100%).

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
3/21/2021 vs. Oral Roberts L, 78-81 -8.5 L -11.5 148 OVER 11

Oral Roberts ATS Performance

This Season

Oral Roberts is 17-9-0 against the spread this year. The over has hit in 17 of 26 Oral Roberts games (65.4%) this season.

Oral Roberts is 6-0-0 against the spread at neutral sites this year. The over has hit in 3 of Oral Roberts 6 games on neutral floors (50%) this season.

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
11/25/2020 at Missouri L, 64-91 12 L -15 147.5 OVER 7.5
12/2/2020 at Wichita State L, 80-85 12 W 7 151 OVER 14
12/8/2020 at Oklahoma State L, 78-83 17.5 W 12.5 153.5 OVER 7.5
12/16/2020 at Oklahoma L, 65-79 16.5 W 2.5 159.5 UNDER -15.5
12/20/2020 at Arkansas L, 76-87 19 W 8 154 OVER 9
1/2/2021 at Omaha W, 95-83 -2 W 10 152.5 OVER 25.5
1/3/2021 at Omaha W, 86-75 -1.5 W 9.5 152.5 OVER 8.5
1/8/2021 North Dakota L, 71-72 -10.5 L -11.5 145.5 UNDER -2.5
1/9/2021 North Dakota W, 74-57 -10.5 W 6.5 146.5 UNDER -15.5
1/15/2021 at Denver W, 88-84 -11.5 L -7.5 154.5 OVER 17.5
1/16/2021 at Denver W, 91-82 -11.5 L -2.5 154.5 OVER 18.5
1/23/2021 UMKC W, 60-58 -6.5 L -4.5 140 UNDER -22
1/24/2021 UMKC L, 76-81 -6.5 L -11.5 139.5 OVER 17.5
2/5/2021 at North Dakota State L, 54-61 5 L -2 142 UNDER -27
2/6/2021 at North Dakota State W, 80-74 4 W 10 139 OVER 15
2/13/2021 South Dakota State W, 103-86 3.5 W 20.5 159.5 OVER 29.5
2/14/2021 South Dakota State L, 80-95 3.5 L -11.5 157.5 OVER 17.5
2/20/2021 at South Dakota L, 84-86 3.5 W 1.5 158.5 OVER 11.5
2/27/2021 Western Illinois W, 85-81 -10 L -6 163 OVER 3
2/28/2021 Western Illinois W, 95-59 -9.5 W 26.5 163 UNDER -9
3/7/2021 vs. North Dakota W, 76-65 -7.5 W 3.5 153.5 UNDER -12.5
3/8/2021 vs. South Dakota State W, 90-88 4 W 6 162.5 OVER 15.5
3/9/2021 vs. North Dakota State W, 75-72 1 W 4 145.5 OVER 1.5
3/19/2021 vs. Ohio State W, 75-72 16.5 W 19.5 157.5 UNDER -10.5
3/21/2021 vs. Florida W, 81-78 8.5 W 11.5 148 OVER 11
3/27/2021 vs. Arkansas L, 70-72 11.5 W 9.5 157 UNDER -15

Head to Head

Oral Roberts is 1-0-0 against the spread when it plays against Florida in recorded games since 2021. The over has hit in 1 out of 1 recorded head-to-head games (100%).

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
3/21/2021 vs. Florida W, 81-78 8.5 W 11.5 148 OVER 11
Note: Our ATS data dates back to the 2017-18 season.

News

News Updates

News updates via RotoWire.
  • Colin Castleton (03/28): Castleton will declare for the 2021 NBA Draft but will not be signing with an agent which gives him the option to return to Florida for another year, Jake Weingarten of Stockrisers.com reports.
  • Osayi Osifo (03/26): Osifo landed in the transfer portal Friday, per his personal Twitter account.
  • Noah Locke (03/25): Locke is in the transfer portal, Matt Zenitz of AL.com reports.
  • Ques Glover (03/25): Glover is in the transfer portal, Travis Branham of 247Sports.com reports.
  • Tre Mann (03/24): Mann announced Wednesday that he will sign with an agent and forgo his remaining eligibility at Florida to enter the 2021 NBA Draft, Jonathan Givony of ESPN.com reports.
  • Colin Castleton (03/23): Castleton recorded 14 points (5-6 FG, 4-4 FT), 10 rebounds, three blocks and one steal during Sunday's loss to Oral Roberts.
  • Omar Payne (03/22): Payne (coach's decision) totaled four points (2-4 FG), two rebounds and one assist over 11 minutes in Sunday's 81-78 loss to Oral Roberts.
  • Max Abmas (03/21): Abmas had 26 points (6-14 FG, 2-7 3Pt, 12-12 FT), seven assists, two rebounds and two steals across 40 minutes in Sunday's 81-78 victory over Florida.
  • Tyree Appleby (03/21): Appleby (head) will start Sunday's game against Oral Roberts, according to Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports.
  • Kevin Obanor (03/21): Obanor had 30 points (9-21 FG, 5-12 3pt, 7-7 FT) and 11 rebounds across 45 minutes in Friday's 75-72 OT victory over Ohio State.
  • Tyree Appleby (03/20): Head coach Mike White said Saturday that Appleby (face) seems fine but will still be a game-time decision for Sunday's game against Oral Roberts, Mark Long of Ap.org reports.
  • Tyree Appleby (03/19): Appleby (face) did not return to the floor after taking an inadvertent elbow to the face in the second half of Friday's 75-70 win over Virginia Tech.
  • Omar Payne (03/19): Payne did not play in Friday's 75-70 overtime win over Virginia Tech due to a coach's decision, Graham Hall of The Gainesville Sun reports.
  • Anthony Duruji (03/19): Duruji will start Friday's NCAA Tournament opener versus Virginia Tech.
  • Tyree Appleby (03/12): Appleby is in the starting lineup for Friday's game against Tennessee.
  • Omar Payne (03/12): Payne will start Friday's game versus Tennessee.
  • Anthony Duruji (03/12): Duruji is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against Tennessee.
  • Tre Mann (03/11): Mann had 22 points (7-12 FG, 1-3 3Pt, 7-8 FT), seven rebounds and six assists across 32 minutes in Thursday's 69-63 victory over Vanderbilt.
  • Tyree Appleby (03/11): Appleby will come off the bench in Thursday's game against Vanderbilt.
  • Scottie Lewis (03/11): Lewis will not start Thursday's game against Vanderbilt.
  • Tre Mann (03/11): Mann (head) will play Thursday against Vanderbilt, Jake Winderman of CBS Sports reports. He's among the starters for the Gators, per Robbie Weinstein of 247Sports reports.
  • Max Abmas (03/10): Abmas had 23 points (7-17 FG, 1-6 3Pt, 8-10 FT), seven assists and four rebounds across 40 minutes in Tuesday's 75-72 victory over North Dakota State.
  • Kevin Obanor (03/10): Obanor had 21 points (8-13 FG, 3-4 3Pt, 2-3 FT), nine rebounds, an assist and a block across 28 minutes in Tuesday's 75-72 victory over North Dakota State.
  • Scottie Lewis (03/08): Lewis started and had six points (3-10 FG, 0-4 3Pt, 0-3 FT), three rebounds and three steals across 35 minutes in Sunday's 65-54 loss to Tennessee.
  • Tyree Appleby (03/08): Appleby had 19 points (7-14 FG, 1-4 3Pt, 4-6 FT), three assists and two rebounds across 35 minutes in Sunday's 65-54 loss to Tennessee.