Preview: Ohio vs. Creighton

Game Ohio Bobcats vs. Creighton Bluejays
Date: March 22nd, 2021 6:10 PM
TV: TNT
Spread: CREI -5.5
Total: 150.5 Open 149

Preview

Ohio Offense vs. Creighton Defense

The Bobcats are ranked 41st nationally in Bart Torvik’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. Ohio shoots 55.5 percent on twos and 35.6 percent on threes for a 54.7 effective field goal percentage.

Creighton’s defense is ranked 31st nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Opponents shoot 46.7 percent on twos and 31.7 percent on threes for a 47 effective field goal percentage against the Bluejays.

Basics
  • Ohio’s offense enters the tournament on a cold streak. Over the last 30 days, the Bobcats are ranked 78th in adjusted offensive efficiency compared to 41st for the year.
  • Ohio plays as fast as any team in the country. The Bobcats average 71 possessions per game.
Extra Possessions
  • Ohio is unique because its guards are aggressive on the offensive glass. Perimeter players account for 33.6 percent of the Bobcats’ offensive boards. That should put extra pressure on Creighton’s perimeter players to clean up the glass.
Shot Profile
  • Creighton allows opponents to attempt 39 percent of their shots from 3-point range. The Bluejays have gotten a bit lucky so far this season as opponents only make 32 percent of their threes. On the year, Ohio is shooting 35 from outside and attempts 39 percent of its shots from long distance.
  • Ohio is one of the best teams in the country at finishing around the basket. The Bobcats shoot 62 percent at the rim and Creighton allows 54 percent shooting inside of five feet.
Style
  • Ohio is one of the better passing teams in the country and 59.5 percent of its made field goals are assisted this season.
  • Ohio has one of the most dominant post-up offenses in the NCAA Tournament, averaging 11.2 points per game on 0.89 points per post-up play. Creighton’s defense should be up to the challenge, allowing 0.8 points per post-up play.

Creighton Offense vs. Ohio Defense

Creighton checks in at 25th nationally in Bart Torvik’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. The Bluejays shoot 55.7 percent on twos and 36.1 percent on threes for a 55 effective field goal percentage.

Ohio is ranked 120th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. On the season, Ohio opponents make 51.1 percent of their twos and 33.6 percent of their threes for a 50.8 effective field goal percentage.

Basics
  • Creighton’s offense has been struggling over the last month. The Bluejays are ranked 120th in adjusted offensive efficiency over the last 30 days compared to 25th for the season.
  • Ohio’s defense has been playing very well over the last month. The Bobcats are ranked 50th in adjusted defensive efficiency over the last 30 days compared to 120th for the season.
  • Creighton is one of the most experienced teams in college basketball, averaging 2.24 years of experience weighted by minutes played, per KenPom.com.
  • Creighton has struggled at the free-throw line all season, shooting just 64 percent at the stripe this year.
Extra Possessions
Shot Profile
  • Creighton’s offensive attack is perimeter-oriented. The Bluejays attempt 44 percent of their shots from 3-point range. The Bluejays also make a lot of those attempts, shooting 36 percent from outside the arc. Ohio’s defense is vulnerable against the three, allowing its opponents to attempt 40 percent of their shots from outside the arc.
  • Creighton is one of the best teams in the country at finishing around the basket. The Bluejays shoot 64 percent at the rim and Ohio allows 62 percent shooting inside of five feet.
Style
  • Creighton has an elite transition offense and scores 14.5 points per game in transition, while Ohio’s transition defense has been run of the mill and allows 12.4 points per game in transition.

Bottom Line

Will we see an upset? Bart Torvik gives Ohio a 28 percent chance of advancing and predicts a 76-71 final score.

OHIO Personnel

#4 Dwight Wilson

Role: Versatile Big
Height: 6'8" | Weight: 250 lbs

Post-Up Scorer Finisher Roll Man Mid-Range Specialist Non Shooter Offensive Rebounder Defensive Rebounder Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
14.5 7.5 0.7 120.0 21.7% 65.5%

#5 Ben Vander Plas

Role: Tall Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'8" | Weight: 232 lbs

Post-Up Scorer Glue Guy Pick Pocket
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
12.8 5.8 3.8 106.3 20.2% 52.8%

#0 Jason Preston

Role: Tall Ball Handler
Height: 6'4" | Weight: 187 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Distributor Mid-Range Specialist Transition Scorer Pick Pocket Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer Takes Tough Shots Go-To Guy Efficient Shooter Below 65% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
15 6.9 6.9 114.6 24.8% 57.9%

#3 Ben Roderick

Role: Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'5" | Weight: 205 lbs

Transition Scorer Corner 3-Point Specialist Off the Dribble Shooter Catch and Shoot Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter Below 65% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
12.4 3 0.9 114.0 18.9% 60%

#15 Lunden McDay

Role: Tall Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'3" | Weight: 185 lbs

Avoids Turnovers
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
10.2 2.3 1.3 110.6 16.7% 48.3%

CREI Personnel

#11 Marcus Zegarowski

Role: Primary Ball Handler
Height: 6'2" | Weight: 180 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Distributor Transition Scorer Off the Dribble Shooter Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer Takes Tough Shots Efficient Shooter
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
15.8 3.6 4.3 114.2 23.2% 57.9%

#34 Denzel Mahoney

Role: Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'5" | Weight: 220 lbs

Ball Screen Creator Mid-Range Specialist Transition Scorer Pick Pocket Poor Finisher Takes Tough Shots Avoids Turnovers
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
12.5 4.1 1.7 98.4 22.3% 45.5%
❄️❄️❄️: Mahoney is averaging 8.6 points per game over the last 5 games. That’s 3.9 points below his season average.

#23 Damien Jefferson

Role: Tall Spot Up Wing
Height: 6'5" | Weight: 220 lbs

Catch and Shoot Isolation Scorer Efficient Shooter Below 65% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
11.9 5.4 2.4 109.0 20.5% 56.9%

#13 Christian Bishop

Role: Versatile Big
Height: 6'7" | Weight: 220 lbs

Post-Up Scorer Finisher Roll Man Non Shooter Defensive Rebounder Gets to the Line Efficient Shooter Below 65% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
11 6.4 1.2 114.8 21.9% 68.4%

#24 Mitch Ballock

Role: Runaround Wing
Height: 6'5" | Weight: 205 lbs

Glue Guy Transition Scorer Catch and Shoot Avoids Turnovers Efficient Shooter Below 65% FT
Pts Reb Ast ORtg Usage eFG%
9.9 3.2 2.6 114.0 14.2% 58.3%

ATS

Creighton ATS Performance

This Season

Creighton is 15-16-0 against the spread this year. The over has hit in 13 of 31 Creighton games (41.9%) this season.

Creighton is 3-3-0 against the spread at neutral sites this year. The over has hit in 1 of Creighton’s 6 games on neutral floors (16.7%) this season.

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
11/29/2020 North Dakota State W, 69-58 -23.5 L -12.5 145.5 UNDER -18.5
12/1/2020 Omaha W, 94-67 -19.5 W 7.5 146.5 OVER 14.5
12/4/2020 Kennesaw State W, 93-58 -31.5 W 3.5 141.5 OVER 9.5
12/8/2020 at Kansas L, 72-73 3.5 W 2.5 147.5 UNDER -2.5
12/11/2020 Nebraska W, 98-74 -14 W 10 150.5 OVER 21.5
12/14/2020 Marquette L, 84-89 -7 L -12 148.5 OVER 24.5
12/17/2020 at St. John's W, 94-76 -7.5 W 10.5 160.5 OVER 9.5
12/20/2020 at UConn W, 76-74 -3.5 L -1.5 149 OVER 1
12/23/2020 Xavier W, 66-61 -7 L -2 152.5 UNDER -25.5
1/2/2021 at Providence W, 67-65 -4 L -2 146 UNDER -14
1/6/2021 Seton Hall W, 89-53 -5.5 W 30.5 148 UNDER -6
1/9/2021 St. John's W, 97-79 -13 W 5 158.5 OVER 17.5
1/16/2021 at Butler L, 66-70 -8 L -12 141 UNDER -5
1/20/2021 Providence L, 70-74 -10 L -14 145 UNDER -1
1/23/2021 UConn W, 74-66 -8.5 L -0.5 138.5 OVER 1.5
1/27/2021 at Seton Hall W, 85-81 -1.5 W 2.5 146.5 OVER 19.5
1/30/2021 at DePaul W, 69-62 -9.5 L -2.5 148.5 UNDER -17.5
2/3/2021 Georgetown L, 79-86 -14 L -21 150 OVER 15
2/6/2021 at Marquette W, 71-68 -4.5 L -1.5 145.5 UNDER -6.5
2/9/2021 at Georgetown W, 63-48 -7.5 W 7.5 150.5 UNDER -39.5
2/13/2021 Villanova W, 86-70 2.5 W 18.5 144.5 OVER 11.5
2/24/2021 DePaul W, 77-53 -15 W 9 141.5 UNDER -11.5
2/27/2021 at Xavier L, 69-77 -5 L -13 148.5 UNDER -2.5
3/3/2021 at Villanova L, 60-72 4.5 L -7.5 147 UNDER -15
3/6/2021 Butler W, 93-73 -12.5 W 7.5 134 OVER 32
3/11/2021 vs. Butler W, 87-56 -11 W 20 135.5 OVER 7.5
3/12/2021 vs. UConn W, 59-56 0 W 3 144.5 UNDER -29.5
3/13/2021 vs. Georgetown L, 48-73 -8.5 L -33.5 143 UNDER -22
3/20/2021 vs. UC Santa Barbara W, 63-62 -7 L -6 138 UNDER -13
3/22/2021 vs. Ohio W, 72-58 -5.5 W 8.5 149 UNDER -19
3/28/2021 vs. Gonzaga L, 65-83 13 L -5 159 UNDER -11

Head to Head

Creighton is 1-0-0 against the spread when it plays against Ohio in recorded games since 2021. The over has hit in 0 out of 1 recorded head-to-head games (0%).

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
3/22/2021 vs. Ohio W, 72-58 -5.5 W 8.5 149 UNDER -19

Ohio ATS Performance

This Season

Ohio is 15-9-0 against the spread this year. The over has hit in 13 of 24 Ohio games (54.2%) this season.

Ohio is 5-1-0 against the spread at neutral sites this year. The over has hit in 1 of Ohio’s 6 games on neutral floors (16.7%) this season.

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
11/25/2020 vs. Chicago State W, 84-61 20.5 W 43.5 147 UNDER -2
11/26/2020 at North Carolina A&T W, 84-72 -13.5 L -1.5 146.5 OVER 9.5
11/27/2020 at Illinois L, 75-77 18 W 16 146.5 OVER 5.5
12/6/2020 Cleveland State W, 101-46 -11.5 W 43.5 139.5 OVER 7.5
12/13/2020 at Marshall L, 67-81 2.5 L -11.5 156.5 UNDER -8.5
12/22/2020 at Akron L, 70-90 -2 L -22 148 OVER 12
12/30/2020 Bowling Green L, 75-83 -4 L -12 153 OVER 5
1/2/2021 at Ball State W, 78-68 -1 W 9 143.5 OVER 2.5
1/5/2021 Northern Illinois W, 76-73 -15.5 L -12.5 135.5 OVER 13.5
1/8/2021 at Toledo L, 78-95 3.5 L -13.5 147.5 OVER 25.5
1/12/2021 Miami (OH) W, 78-61 -8.5 W 8.5 144 UNDER -5
1/16/2021 Kent State L, 79-89 -3.5 L -13.5 151.5 OVER 16.5
1/23/2021 Ball State W, 85-77 -4.5 W 3.5 151.5 OVER 10.5
1/26/2021 Western Michigan W, 81-58 -14 W 9 141.5 UNDER -2.5
1/29/2021 at Buffalo W, 76-75 2.5 W 3.5 160.5 UNDER -9.5
2/2/2021 at Central Michigan W, 83-69 -7 W 7 156.5 UNDER -4.5
2/23/2021 Akron W, 90-73 4 W 21 151.5 OVER 11.5
2/25/2021 Eastern Michigan W, 86-67 -12 W 7 144.5 OVER 8.5
2/27/2021 Buffalo L, 66-86 -1.5 L -21.5 159.5 UNDER -7.5
3/11/2021 vs. Kent State W, 85-63 -2 W 20 149.5 UNDER -1.5
3/12/2021 vs. Toledo W, 87-80 4 W 11 157 OVER 10
3/13/2021 vs. Buffalo W, 84-69 2.5 W 17.5 155.5 UNDER -2.5
3/20/2021 vs. Virginia W, 62-58 7.5 W 11.5 130.5 UNDER -10.5
3/22/2021 vs. Creighton L, 58-72 5.5 L -8.5 149 UNDER -19

Head to Head

Ohio is 0-1-0 against the spread when it plays against Creighton in recorded games since 2021. The over has hit in 0 out of 1 recorded head-to-head games (0%).

Date Opp Result Spread Cover By Total Over By
3/22/2021 vs. Creighton L, 58-72 5.5 L -8.5 149 UNDER -19
Note: Our ATS data dates back to the 2017-18 season.

News

News Updates

News updates via RotoWire.
  • Damien Jefferson (03/23): Jefferson recorded 15 points (6-13 FG, 1-3 3Pt, 2-2 FT), five rebounds, three assists and one steal during 34 minutes in the 72-58 win over Ohio on Monday.
  • Christian Bishop (03/23): Bishop produced 12 points (6-7 FG), 15 rebounds and one steal through 32 minutes in the 72-58 win against Ohio on Monday.
  • Marcus Zegarowski (03/23): Zegarowski provides 20 points (7-16 FG, 4-7 3Pt, 2-2 FT), three rebounds, two assists, one steal and one block during 38 minutes in the 72-58 win over Ohio on Monday.
  • Ben Vander Plas (03/21): Vander Plas had 17 points (7-15 FG, 3-9 3Pt), five rebounds and four assists across 40 minutes in Saturday's 62-58 victory over Virginia
  • Jason Preston (03/21): Preston had 11 points (4-7 FG, 1-3 3Pt, 2-2 FT), 13 rebounds and eight assists across 40 minutes in Saturday's 62-58 victory over Virginia.
  • Mitch Ballock (03/21): Ballock finished with eight points (3-10 FG, 1-7 3Pt, 1-1 FT), seven rebounds, four assists, one steal and one block through 37 minutes in the 63-62 win over UC Santa Barbara on Saturday.
  • Christian Bishop (03/21): Bishop recorded 15 points (6-8 FG, 3-5 FT), 11 rebounds, one steal and two blocks through 32 minutes in the 63-62 win over UC Santa Barbara on Saturday.
  • Shereef Mitchell (03/20): Mitchell (head) will play Saturday against Cal-Santa Barbara, Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports reports.
  • Shereef Mitchell (03/15): Mitchell (head) is improving but still being evaluated ahead of Saturday's game against Cal-Santa Barbara, Jon Nyatawa of the Omaha World-Herald reports.
  • Jason Preston (03/14): Preston had 22 points (9-16 FG, 3-7 3Pt, 1-3 FT), seven assists, six rebounds and five steals across 38 minutes in Saturday's 84-69 victory over Buffalo in the MAC Championship game.
  • Marcus Zegarowski (03/13): Zegarowski recorded 17 points (7-8 FG, 3-4 3Pt), four rebounds, four assists and one steal through 34 minutes during the 73-48 Big East Title upset loss to Georgetown on Saturday.
  • Shereef Mitchell (03/13): Mitchell won't play in Saturday's Big East Tournament final against Georgetown after getting hit in the head during Friday's matchup with Connecticut, Jon Nyatawa of the Omaha World-Herald reports.
  • Antwann Jones (03/11): Jones recorded eight points (3-3 FG, 2-2 3Pt), four rebounds and four assists during 12 minutes in the 87-56 Quarterfinal win against Butler on Thursday.
  • Marcus Zegarowski (03/11): Zegarowski finished with 18 points (7-10 FG, 4-5 3Pt), four rebounds, five assists and three steals during 28 minutes in the 87-56 Quarterfinal win over Butler on Thursday.
  • Christian Bishop (03/08): Bishop recorded 10 points (5-7 FG), 10 rebounds and four assists during 22 minutes in the 93-73 win against Butler on Saturday.
  • Marcus Zegarowski (03/08): Zegarowski finished with 32 points (10-12 FG, 5-7 3Pt, 7-8 FT), two rebounds and one steal during 32 minutes in the 93-73 win over Butler on Saturday.
  • Dwight Wilson (03/02): Ohio's game against Kent State has been postponed and will not be rescheduled.
  • Marcus Zegarowski (02/28): Zegarowski had 15 points (6-14 FG, 1-6 3Pt, 2-4 FT), 10 assists and two rebounds across 38 minutes in Saturday's 77-69 loss to Xavier.
  • Mitch Ballock (02/25): Ballock recorded three points (1-5 FG, 1-5 3Pt) and one rebound during 23 minutes in the 77-53 win over DePaul on Wednesday.
  • Marcus Zegarowski (02/13): Zegarowski finished with 25 points (10-18 FG, 3-9 3Pt, 2-2 FT), three rebounds and five assists through 37 minutes in the 86-70 win over Villanova on Saturday.
  • Mitch Ballock (02/10): Ballock posted 14 points (5-10 FG, 4-9 3PT), three rebounds, four steals and one block during 27 minuets in the 63-48 win over Georgetown on Tuesday.
  • Christian Bishop (02/10): Bishop finished with 17 points 8-11 FG, 0-1 3PT, 1-2 FT), nine rebounds, one assist, two steals and two blocks through 28 minutes in the 63-48 win over Georgetown on Tuesday.
  • Damien Jefferson (02/07): Jefferson finished with 13 points (5-11 FG, 0-2 3Pt, 3-4 FT), eight rebounds, six assists, two steals and one block across 38 minutes Saturday in Creighton's 71-68 win over Marquette.
  • Ryan Kalkbrenner (02/06): Kalkbrenner recorded 11 points (5-7 FG, 1-1 FT), five rebounds, one assist and one block during 15 minutes in the 71-68 win over Marquette on Saturday.
  • Christian Bishop (02/06): Bishop (foot) has checked back into Saturday's game after he went to the locker room following the opening tip.