Game | ![]() ![]() |
Date: | March 17th, 2022 7:30 PM |
TV: | TBS |
Spread: | SMC -2.5 |
Total: | 124.5 Open: 126.5 |
Preview
Indiana Offense vs. Saint Mary's Defense
Indiana checks in at 79th nationally in Bart Torvik’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. The Hoosiers shoot 51.4 percent on twos and 33.9 percent on threes for a 51.3 effective field goal percentage.
Saint Mary's is ranked 10th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. On the season, Saint Mary's opponents make 47 percent of their twos and 34.4 percent of their threes for a 48.3 effective field goal percentage.
Basics
- According to KenPom, Indiana ranked 282nd nationally in luck, meaning that their adjusted efficiency margin stats indicate they should have a better record and have come up short in close games.
- The Hoosiers are one of the biggest teams in the NCAA Tournament with an average height of 78.05 inches according to KenPom.com. Saint Mary's should match up well against the Hoosiers’ size, with an average height of 77.83 inches.
- Indiana does a great job of getting to the free-throw line. The Hoosiers attempt 34 free throws per 100 field goal attempts. This should be an advantage for Saint Mary's, which only allows 24 free throws per 100 shot attempts.
Extra Possessions
- The game should be fairly turnover neutral on this side of the ball. Indiana turns it over on 17.3 percent of possessions and Saint Mary's forces giveaways on 19.5 percent of possessions.
Shot Profile
- Saint Mary's does a great job running its opponents off the 3-point line. SMC opponents attempt 29 percent of their shots from 3-point range and are shooting 34 percent from 3-point range while Indiana is shooting 34 percent from outside and attempts 32 percent of its shots from long distance.
- Saint Mary's does a fantastic job of contesting jump shots. On the season, SMC contests 61 percent of if its opponents catch and shoot attempts. Conversely, Indiana excels at creating open jumpers. Only 37 percent of the Hoosiers’ catch and shoot attempts have been contested this season.
- Saint Mary's is one of the best teams in the country at defending around the basket. Gaels opponents are shooting just 53 percent at the rim. Indiana is usually very good at creating quality looks around the basket — finishing 60 percent of its shots withing five-feet — which sets up an interesting battle inside.
- Saint Mary's defense does a terrific job of funneling offensive players into pull-up 2-point attempts. Gaels opponents attempt 30 percent of their shots from the mid-range and connect at a 39 percent clip. Indiana’s offense shoots 36 percent on its mid-range attempts.
Style
- Indiana is a terrific passing team that records assists on 57.4 percent of its made baskets. Saint Mary's defense is designed to minimize help and prevent assisted baskets. On the season, Saint Mary's opponents log assists on 35.9 percent of makes.
- Indiana’s offense is overweight on off-ball screens and cuts compared to the rest of the field and should test Saint Mary's defensive discipline off the ball. The Hoosiers average 9.2 points per game via cuts and off-ball screens, scoring 1.00 points per play on those actions. Saint Mary's defense excels at defending off-ball sets, allowing just 0.89 points per play.
- Indiana relies on post-up offense to score. The Hoosiers average 16.2 points per game out of post-up actions. Saint Mary's is fairly average defending the post, allowing 0.78 points per play.
Saint Mary's Offense vs. Indiana Defense
Saint Mary's checks in at 46th nationally in Bart Torvik’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. The Gaels shoot 52.6 percent on twos and 35.1 percent on threes for a 52.6 effective field goal percentage.
Indiana is ranked 14th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. On the season, Indiana opponents make 43.4 percent of their twos and 32.6 percent of their threes for a 45.7 effective field goal percentage.
Basics
- Indiana’s defense has been struggling over the last month. The Hoosiers are ranked 55th in adjusted defensive efficiency over the last 30 days compared to 14th for the season.
- Saint Mary's is one of the most experienced teams in college basketball, averaging 2.28 years of experience weighted by minutes played, per KenPom.com.
- Saint Mary's plays at a deliberate pace. The Gaels average 66 possessions per game which is one of the slower tempos in college basketball.
- You can trust Saint Mary's at the line in a close game. The Gaels shoot 77 percent at the line for the season.
Extra Possessions
Shot Profile
- Indiana allows opponents to attempt 40 percent of their shots from 3-point range. IND opponents are shooting 32 percent from 3-point range while Saint Mary's is shooting 35 percent from outside and attempts 36 percent of its shots from long distance.
- Saint Mary's is difficult to guard because it has 3 players on the roster shooting at least 38 percent from 3-point range on over 50 perimeter attempts.
- Indiana is one of the best teams in the country at defending around the basket. Hoosiers opponents are shooting just 49 percent at the rim. Saint Mary's makes 56 percent of its shots withing five-feet which is right around Division I average.
Style
- Saint Mary's is reliant on ball screen screen offense. The Gaels score 30.2 points per game out of ball screen actions at 0.91 points per play. Indiana’s defense is fairly average containing ball screen looks. Opponents score 0.77 points per ball screen action (including pass-outs) against the Hoosiers.
- Saint Mary's relies on post-up offense to score. The Gaels average 13 points per game out of post-up actions. Indiana is fairly average defending the post, allowing 0.8 points per play.
Bottom Line
Bart Torvik lists Saint Mary's as a 63-60 favorite, giving the Gaels a 62 percent chance of advancing.
IND Personnel

#23 Trayce Jackson-Davis
Role: Post Up Big
Height: 6'9" | Weight: 245 lbs
Pts | Reb | Ast | eFG% |
---|---|---|---|
18.1 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 58.8% |

#0 Xavier Johnson
Role: Primary Ball Handler
Height: 6'3" | Weight: 200 lbs
Pts | Reb | Ast | eFG% |
---|---|---|---|
12.2 | 3.8 | 5 | 47% |

#25 Race Thompson
Role: Versatile Big
Height: 6'8" | Weight: 228 lbs
Pts | Reb | Ast | eFG% |
---|---|---|---|
11.5 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 58.1% |

#12 Miller Kopp
Role: Runaround Wing
Height: 6'7" | Weight: 215 lbs
Pts | Reb | Ast | eFG% |
---|---|---|---|
6.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 47.1% |

#45 Parker Stewart
Role: Runaround Wing
Height: 6'5" | Weight: 200 lbs
Pts | Reb | Ast | eFG% |
---|---|---|---|
6.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 52.5% |
SMC Personnel

#11 Matthias Tass
Role: Versatile Big
Height: 6'10" | Weight: 245 lbs
Pts | Reb | Ast | eFG% |
---|---|---|---|
12.6 | 6 | 2 | 55.7% |

#12 Tommy Kuhse
Role: Primary Ball Handler
Height: 6'2" | Weight: 185 lbs
Pts | Reb | Ast | eFG% |
---|---|---|---|
12 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 57.8% |

#0 Logan Johnson
Role: Secondary Ball Handler
Height: 6'2" | Weight: 170 lbs
Pts | Reb | Ast | eFG% |
---|---|---|---|
11.5 | 4 | 2.7 | 47% |

#44 Alex Ducas
Role: Runaround Wing
Height: 6'6" | Weight: 215 lbs
Pts | Reb | Ast | eFG% |
---|---|---|---|
10.2 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 52% |

#42 Dan Fotu
Role: Versatile Big
Height: 6'7" | Weight: 225 lbs
Pts | Reb | Ast | eFG% |
---|---|---|---|
6.5 | 3 | 0.5 | 54.2% |
ATS
Saint Mary's ATS Performance
This Season
Saint Mary's is 20-11-1 against the spread this year. The over has hit in 16 of 32 Saint Mary's games (50%) this season.
Saint Mary's is 4-3-0 against the spread at neutral sites this year. The over has hit in 3 of Saint Mary's 7 games on neutral floors (42.9%) this season.
Date | Opp | Result | Spread | Cover | By | Total | Over | By |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/9/2021 | Prairie View A&M | W, 87-68 | -18 | W | 1 | 135.5 | OVER | 19.5 |
11/12/2021 | Texas Southern | W, 67-58 | -18.5 | L | -9.5 | 136 | UNDER | -11 |
11/15/2021 | Southern Utah | W, 70-51 | -11 | W | 8 | 139.5 | UNDER | -18.5 |
11/17/2021 | Bellarmine | W, 73-64 | -17 | L | -8 | 133 | OVER | 4 |
11/22/2021 | vs. Notre Dame | W, 62-59 | 1.5 | W | 4.5 | 132 | UNDER | -11 |
11/23/2021 | vs. Oregon | W, 62-50 | 2 | W | 14 | 131.5 | UNDER | -19.5 |
11/24/2021 | vs. Wisconsin | L, 55-61 | 1 | L | -5 | 120 | UNDER | -4 |
11/29/2021 | UC Riverside | W, 67-50 | -11 | W | 6 | 118.5 | UNDER | -1.5 |
12/2/2021 | at Utah State | W, 60-58 | 2.5 | W | 4.5 | 128.5 | UNDER | -10.5 |
12/4/2021 | at Colorado State | L, 58-74 | 4 | L | -12 | 137 | UNDER | -5 |
12/11/2021 | UC Santa Barbara | W, 80-59 | -9 | W | 12 | 128.5 | OVER | 10.5 |
12/17/2021 | vs. San Diego State | L, 53-63 | 2.5 | L | -7.5 | 119.5 | UNDER | -3.5 |
12/22/2021 | Missouri State | W, 75-58 | -6 | W | 11 | 130 | OVER | 3 |
12/28/2021 | Yale | W, 87-60 | -12.5 | W | 14.5 | 130 | OVER | 17 |
1/8/2022 | at BYU | L, 43-52 | 3.5 | L | -5.5 | 132.5 | UNDER | -37.5 |
1/13/2022 | at Pepperdine | W, 77-62 | -12.5 | W | 2.5 | 135 | OVER | 4 |
1/20/2022 | Santa Clara | W, 73-65 | -9 | L | -1 | 138.5 | UNDER | -0.5 |
1/22/2022 | at Loyola Marymount | W, 83-51 | -7 | W | 25 | 127.5 | OVER | 6.5 |
1/27/2022 | at San Francisco | W, 72-70 | 3.5 | W | 5.5 | 129.5 | OVER | 12.5 |
1/29/2022 | Pepperdine | W, 81-57 | -21.5 | W | 2.5 | 132.5 | OVER | 5.5 |
2/3/2022 | at Portland | W, 75-54 | -13.5 | W | 7.5 | 131 | UNDER | -2 |
2/5/2022 | Loyola Marymount | W, 71-60 | -16 | L | -5 | 129.5 | OVER | 1.5 |
2/8/2022 | at Santa Clara | L, 72-77 | -3 | L | -8 | 140 | OVER | 9 |
2/10/2022 | San Diego | W, 86-57 | -15.5 | W | 13.5 | 127 | OVER | 16 |
2/12/2022 | at Gonzaga | L, 58-74 | 16 | P | 0 | 147.5 | UNDER | -15.5 |
2/17/2022 | San Francisco | W, 69-64 | -3 | W | 2 | 132 | OVER | 1 |
2/19/2022 | BYU | W, 69-64 | -6 | L | -1 | 134.5 | UNDER | -1.5 |
2/24/2022 | at San Diego | W, 60-46 | -11.5 | W | 2.5 | 126.5 | UNDER | -20.5 |
2/26/2022 | Gonzaga | W, 67-57 | 11 | W | 21 | 144 | UNDER | -20 |
3/7/2022 | vs. Santa Clara | W, 75-72 | -5 | L | -2 | 140.5 | OVER | 6.5 |
3/8/2022 | vs. Gonzaga | L, 69-82 | 13.5 | W | 0.5 | 143 | OVER | 8 |
3/17/2022 | vs. Indiana | W, 82-53 | -3 | W | 26 | 126.5 | OVER | 8.5 |
Head to Head
Saint Mary's is 1-0-0 against the spread when it plays against Indiana in recorded games since 2022. The over has hit in 1 out of 1 recorded head-to-head games (100%).
Date | Opp | Result | Spread | Cover | By | Total | Over | By |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3/17/2022 | vs. Indiana | W, 82-53 | -3 | W | 26 | 126.5 | OVER | 8.5 |
Indiana ATS Performance
This Season
Indiana is 19-16-0 against the spread this year. The over has hit in 18 of 35 Indiana games (51.4%) this season.
Indiana is 5-1-0 against the spread at neutral sites this year. The over has hit in 3 of Indiana’s 6 games on neutral floors (50%) this season.
Date | Opp | Result | Spread | Cover | By | Total | Over | By |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/9/2021 | Eastern Michigan | W, 68-62 | -23.5 | L | -17.5 | 140.5 | UNDER | -10.5 |
11/12/2021 | Northern Illinois | W, 85-49 | -22.5 | W | 13.5 | 138.5 | UNDER | -4.5 |
11/17/2021 | St. John's | W, 76-74 | -6 | L | -4 | 148.5 | OVER | 1.5 |
11/21/2021 | Louisiana | W, 76-44 | -12 | W | 20 | 142.5 | UNDER | -22.5 |
11/23/2021 | Jackson State | W, 70-35 | -22.5 | W | 12.5 | 128 | UNDER | -23 |
11/27/2021 | Marshall | W, 90-79 | -11.5 | L | -0.5 | 148.5 | OVER | 20.5 |
11/30/2021 | at Syracuse | L, 110-112 | 1 | L | -1 | 144.5 | OVER | 77.5 |
12/4/2021 | Nebraska | W, 68-55 | -11.5 | W | 1.5 | 142.5 | UNDER | -19.5 |
12/8/2021 | at Wisconsin | L, 59-64 | 3.5 | L | -1.5 | 132.5 | UNDER | -9.5 |
12/12/2021 | Merrimack | W, 81-49 | -19.5 | W | 12.5 | 123.5 | OVER | 6.5 |
12/18/2021 | vs. Notre Dame | W, 64-56 | -4 | W | 4 | 138 | UNDER | -18 |
12/22/2021 | Northern Kentucky | W, 79-61 | -17 | W | 1 | 134.5 | OVER | 5.5 |
1/2/2022 | at Penn State | L, 58-61 | -2.5 | L | -5.5 | 128 | UNDER | -9 |
1/6/2022 | Ohio State | W, 67-51 | -1 | W | 15 | 137 | UNDER | -19 |
1/9/2022 | Minnesota | W, 73-60 | -11 | W | 2 | 131.5 | OVER | 1.5 |
1/13/2022 | at Iowa | L, 74-83 | 4 | L | -5 | 150 | OVER | 7 |
1/17/2022 | at Nebraska | W, 78-71 | -9 | L | -2 | 144.5 | OVER | 4.5 |
1/20/2022 | Purdue | W, 68-65 | 3.5 | W | 6.5 | 143.5 | UNDER | -10.5 |
1/23/2022 | Michigan | L, 62-80 | -4 | L | -22 | 133.5 | OVER | 8.5 |
1/26/2022 | Penn State | W, 74-57 | -8.5 | W | 8.5 | 128 | OVER | 3 |
1/29/2022 | at Maryland | W, 68-55 | -1.5 | W | 11.5 | 135.5 | UNDER | -12.5 |
2/5/2022 | Illinois | L, 57-74 | -1.5 | L | -18.5 | 137.5 | UNDER | -6.5 |
2/8/2022 | at Northwestern | L, 51-59 | 1 | L | -7 | 136.5 | UNDER | -26.5 |
2/12/2022 | at Michigan State | L, 61-76 | 4 | L | -11 | 133.5 | OVER | 3.5 |
2/15/2022 | Wisconsin | L, 69-74 | -2.5 | L | -7.5 | 131 | OVER | 12 |
2/21/2022 | at Ohio State | L, 69-80 | 7 | L | -4 | 135.5 | OVER | 13.5 |
2/24/2022 | Maryland | W, 74-64 | -6 | W | 4 | 135.5 | OVER | 2.5 |
2/27/2022 | at Minnesota | W, 84-79 | -2.5 | W | 2.5 | 131.5 | OVER | 31.5 |
3/2/2022 | Rutgers | L, 63-66 | -4.5 | L | -7.5 | 132.5 | UNDER | -3.5 |
3/5/2022 | at Purdue | L, 67-69 | 10 | W | 8 | 141 | UNDER | -5 |
3/10/2022 | vs. Michigan | W, 74-69 | 1 | W | 6 | 137 | OVER | 6 |
3/11/2022 | vs. Illinois | W, 65-63 | 3.5 | W | 5.5 | 136 | UNDER | -8 |
3/12/2022 | vs. Iowa | L, 77-80 | 6 | W | 3 | 144 | OVER | 13 |
3/15/2022 | vs. Wyoming | W, 66-58 | -3.5 | W | 4.5 | 133 | UNDER | -9 |
3/17/2022 | vs. Saint Mary's | L, 53-82 | 3 | L | -26 | 126.5 | OVER | 8.5 |
Head to Head
Indiana is 0-1-0 against the spread when it plays against Saint Mary's in recorded games since 2022. The over has hit in 1 out of 1 recorded head-to-head games (100%).
Date | Opp | Result | Spread | Cover | By | Total | Over | By |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3/17/2022 | vs. Saint Mary's | L, 53-82 | 3 | L | -26 | 126.5 | OVER | 8.5 |
News
News Updates
News updates via RotoWire.-
Jordan Geronimo (03/16): Geronimo closed with 15 points (7-11 FG, 1-4 3Pt, 0-2 FT), seven rebounds, one assist and one block across 19 minutes during Tuesday's 66-58 win over Wyoming.
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Trayce Jackson-Davis (03/16): Jackson-Davis ended with 29 points (10-16 FG, 9-11 FT), nine rebounds and one block over 36 minutes during Tuesday's 66-58 win over Wyoming.
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Jordan Geronimo (03/15): Geronimo (knee) is participating in warmups ahead of Tuesday's First Four game against Wyoming and appears set to play, Dustin Dopirak of The Indianapolis Star reports.
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Trey Galloway (03/14): Galloway (groin) is expected to be available for Indiana on Tuesday as they take on Wyoming, Jeff Rabjohns of 247 Sports reports.
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Miller Kopp (03/13): Kopp had eight points (2-11 FG, 2-7 3Pt, 2-2 FT), three rebounds, one assist, one block and one steal over 33 minutes during Saturday's 80-77 loss to Iowa.
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Jordan Geronimo (03/12): Geronimo (knee) appears to be sitting out of warmups and will likely not play in the game versus Iowa, Mike Schumann of the Daily Hoosier reports.
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Trayce Jackson-Davis (03/11): Jackson-Davis racked up 21 points (9-13 FG, 3-4 FT), seven rebounds, three assists and one block over 36 minutes during Friday's 65-63 win over Illinois.
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Trey Galloway (03/11): Galloway (groin) ended Thursday's 74-69 win over Michigan with four points (2-6 FG), one rebound, five assists and three steals across 28 minutes.
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Xavier Johnson (03/11): Johnson ended Thursday's 74-69 win over Michigan with 17 points (5-10 FG, 3-4 3Pt, 4-4 FT), eight rebounds, seven assists and one steal in 27 minutes.
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Logan Johnson (03/09): Johnson finished Tuesday's 82-69 loss to Gonzaga with 21 points (9-14 FG, 3-4 FT), three rebounds, two assists, one block and one steal in 36 minutes.
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Augustas Marciulionis (03/09): Marciulionis had two assists in four minutes during Tuesday's 82-69 loss to Gonzaga in the WCC tournament final.
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Tommy Kuhse (03/08): Kuhse totaled 27 points (11-18 FG, 3-3 3Pt, 2-2 FT), five rebounds, four assists and one steal over 40 minutes during Monday's 75-72 win over Santa Clara.
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Race Thompson (03/06): Thompson accumulated nine points (4-8 FG, 1-4 3Pt), 10 rebounds and one steal over 27 minutes during Saturday's 69-67 loss to Purdue.
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Trey Galloway (03/05): Galloway (groin) remains out Saturday versus Purdue, Alec Lasley of Rivals.com reports.
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Khristian Lander (03/05): Lander (leg) is out Saturday against Purdue, Alec Lasley of Rivals.com reports.
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Trayce Jackson-Davis (03/03): Jackson-Davis accumulated 19 points (7-11 FG, 5-6 FT), nine rebounds, one assist, one block and one steal across 32 minutes during Wednesday's 66-63 loss to Rutgers.
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Khristian Lander (03/02): Lander (leg) will not be available for Wednesday's game against Rutgers, Alec Lasley of Hooiser.com reports.
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Trey Galloway (03/01): Galloway continues to deal with a pulled groin and has no clear timetable for a return, Kevin Brockway of The Anderson Herald Bulletin reports.
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Rob Phinisee (02/28): Phinisee provided eight points (3-6 FG, 2-4 3Pt) and one rebound in nine minutes during Sunday's 84-79 victory over Minnesota.
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Xavier Johnson (02/28): Johnson totaled 24 points (7-16 FG, 4-6 3Pt, 6-9 FT), six rebounds and eight assists in 31 minutes during Sunday's 84-79 win over Minnesota.
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Miller Kopp (02/28): Kopp notched 10 points (3-6 FG, 2-4 3Pt, 2-3 FT) and one rebound over 32 minutes during Sunday's 84-79 victory over Minnesota.
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Khristian Lander (02/27): Lander (undisclosed) isn't expected to play Sunday against Minnesota, Dustin Dopirak of The Indianapolis Star reports.
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Trey Galloway (02/27): Galloway (lower body) is unavailable for Sunday's game at Minnesota, Dustin Dopirak of The Indianapolis Star reports.
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Alex Ducas (02/27): Ducas ended Saturday's 67-57 win over Gonzaga with 10 points (3-7 FG, 2-4 3Pt, 2-2 FT), three rebounds and two steals across 33 minutes.
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Augustas Marciulionis (02/27): Marciulionis (undisclosed) didn't play Saturday against Gonzaga.